In just 200 days, Bitcoin's 2024 halving event looms large. These four-yearly occurrences, cutting miner rewards in half, have been pivotal in Bitcoin's journey. For instance, between 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin surged a staggering 1,263%. More recently, from the 2020 halving to the 2021 all-time high, it rose by 654%. If we consider Bitcoin's "fair value" at $30,643 during the upcoming halving, a 654% increase could propel it to $231,048. Starting at $40,000, it might even reach beyond $300,000. Though speculative, these projections hint at Bitcoin's asymmetric potential.
The impending halving, coupled with a spot ETF, is poised to stir the interest of both retail and institutional investors. As Anthony Pompliano famously stated, Bitcoin's upside potential far outweighs its downsides, making it a compelling asset. However, the window for retail-priced Bitcoin is narrowing. This unique opportunity, which allowed retail investors to lead the way, won't last indefinitely.