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öncəki
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, qiyməti xüsusi sahədə çevirmək üçün aşağı və yuxarı tərəfdə iki xətt qoydugumuz və iki xəttin qiymətə necə reaksiya verəcəyini gözləyəcəyimizi dedik.

Bu
öncəki postda (Yenilənmiş analizlər almaq üçün məni izləyin).

Son zamanlar Bitcoin son dənəyə qədər qırıldı və sonra yüksəldi (Aşağıdakı şəkilə baxın 👇👇)
Bu düşüşün sonu mudur? Əvvəlki zirvənin üstünə qalxmağa davam edəcəkmi və ya daha da enəcəkmi?

Bu bizim bilmədiyimiz və çox sayda ticarətçinin görə bilmədiyi şeydir 😡🤔🙄 Lakin qiymətin haraya gedəcəyini bilmək üçün proaktiv bilik var.

2024-cü ildə pulsuz kripto əldə etmək artıq daha çox cəlbedici olub. Pulsuz kripto əldə etməyin müxtəlif üsulları var:

* Airdrop-lar
Kripto airdrop-ları, ümumiyyətlə promosion kampaniyaların hissəsi olaraq istifadəçilərə pulsuz tokenlər paylayır. Bu, rəqəmsal aktivlərə böyük miqdarda investisiya etmək istəməyən şəxslər üçün pulsuz kripto əldə etmək üçün ən yaxşı yoldur.

* Staking
Staking, bir blokzincir şəbəkəsinin təhlükəsizliyi və funksionallığını saxlamaq üçün xüsusi miqdarda kriptovalyuta portfelyə saxlanılması prinsipidir. Katılımcılar mükafat alırlar. Staking tez-tez isə dəlilərə əsaslanan (PoS) konsensus prosedurları ilə əlaqədardır.

BTC-nin 90k ətrafında oturması bazar üçün çətin bir yerdir. 126k bölgəsinə kəskin bir hərəkətdən sonra, geri çəkmə güclü və sürətli oldu, buna görə də bu səviyyə çox vacibdir. Burada insanlar tendensiyanı müdafiə etmək istəyib-istəmədiklərinə qərar verirlər və ya geri çəkilib daha təmiz bir quruluşu gözləyirlər.

Treyderlərin əksəriyyətinin yoxladığı ilk şey BTC-nin 88k–90k zonasında qala biləcəyidir. Əgər saxlayırsa, bu adətən alıcıların hələ də inamlı olduğunu göstərir. Əgər sürüşməyə davam edərsə, bazar tez-tez həqiqi bərpa başlamazdan əvvəl daha dərin dəstək axtarır.

Sizin qrafikiniz eyni hekayəni göstərir. RSI düşdü, həcm azaldı və şamlar sabitləşməyə çalışır. Burada heç nə panika kimi görünmür, lakin bu, hələ də təsdiqlənmiş bir sıçrayış göstərmir.

Bitcoin kicks off its 17th year amid a familiar tale of resilience clashing with inertia, as the premier cryptocurrency navigates tight consolidation just above key support levels while fresh headlines blend celebratory milestones with technical caution. Trading charts reveal a market absorbing selling pressure without conviction for directional moves, prompting questions on whether mean reversion or a liquidity sweep lies ahead in this early 2026 environment.
Market Snapshot:
The BTC/USD pair currently embodies a classic range-bound structure, characterized by prolonged sideways action following a late-2025 pullback from local swing highs. Observable elements include a multi-week consolidation pattern within a narrowing channel, evident in the candlestick formations hugging the 50-period moving average; repeated rejections at the upper channel boundary around recent highs; and diminishing volatility as measured by contracting Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour timeframe. Lower timeframe impulsive downside wicks have been met with quick absorption, forming higher lows within the range, yet volume profiles show thinning participation, suggestive of a distribution phase in disguise. Overall bias remains neutral, driven by the absence of a clean breakout or breakdown—bullish momentum indicators like RSI hover near 50 without divergence, while the chart's failure to reclaim the range midpoint reinforces equilibrium rather than trend resumption.
Chart Read:
Delving deeper into price action, the structure points to an ongoing accumulation-distribution battle. From the visible 1-hour candles, we observe a descending triangle-like formation, with the flat upper resistance aligning with prior swing highs and the hypotenuse sloping gently lower from December peaks. Key support clusters near the range bottom, where the 200-period EMA coincides with a volume liquidity pocket, having held multiple tests without capitulation. A notable element is the volatility contraction post-holiday thin liquidity, with ATR readings at multi-week lows, setting the stage for potential expansion. This neutral bias stems from balanced order flow: sellers cap upside via stop hunts above recent highs, while buyers defend lows, preventing a full retracement. Absent a momentum shift, such as an engulfing candle or MACD crossover, the range persists, weighing probabilistic outcomes for continuation versus reversal.
News Drivers:
The latest headlines distill into two primary themes: maturation narrative (bullish) and technical stagnation (bearish), creating a mixed sentiment backdrop that diverges from the chart's neutral consolidation. First, CryptoPotato highlights Bitcoin's 17th birthday, framing its evolution from niche "magic money" to a global asset class, underscoring institutional adoption and historical resilience—a unequivocally bullish macro theme that could fuel long-term conviction if translated to price. Second, NewsBTC notes the Sharpe Ratio flipping negative yet posits a recovery setup, with BTC's positive 2026 open signaling renewed bullish positioning after range-bound 2025 closure; this project-specific risk-reward theme leans positive, implying mean reversion potential amid improving momentum metrics. Contrasting sharply, AMBCrypto's analysis warns of no breakout in sight, citing sideways trading as selling pressure meets absorption— a bearish market structure theme that aligns seamlessly with the chart's rejection patterns and lack of direction. This news-chart conflict is telling: optimistic milestones risk a "sell-the-news" dynamic, where fanfare absorbs liquidity without propelling price beyond resistance, potentially masking distribution ahead of volatility expansion.
Macro Theme - Bullish: Bitcoin's birthday narrative reinforces its store-of-value status, potentially drawing fresh capital inflows from sidelined institutions eyeing post-halving cycles. Yet, without regulatory tailwinds or ETF flow acceleration, this remains probabilistic sentiment rather than immediate catalyst.
Technical Theme - Mixed to Bearish: The Sharpe Ratio shift and absent breakout underscore risk-adjusted underperformance, with selling pressure dominating absorption zones. Positive year-start positioning hints at bullish reversal if volume confirms, but current range fidelity suggests equilibrium over breakout.
Sentiment Divergence: Good news on milestones contrasts price fading at highs, evoking liquidity grab scenarios where retail chases narratives into seller traps.
Scenarios:
For bullish continuation, price must first achieve decisive closure above the range top—evident as a bullish engulfing pattern or series of higher highs breaching the descending channel upper bound—accompanied by expanding volume and RSI pushing beyond 60. This would target liquidity pockets above recent swing highs, potentially reverting to mean toward prior impulse legs, with a probabilistic path to channel breakout if momentum sustains. Follow-through might involve retesting the 50 EMA as support post-break, confirming structure shift.
Conversely, invalidation of upside arrives via breakdown below range bottom support, where failure to hold the 200 EMA liquidity zone triggers a fakeout cascade. A bearish scenario unfolds with accelerated selling on volume spike, sweeping lower timeframe lows and exposing the next demand cluster; this could manifest as a measured move equaling the range height downward, invalidating bullish news if absorption fails. Mixed fakeout risk looms if price wicks below support only to reverse, engineering stop liquidity before resuming range play.
Hybrid neutral persistence holds if neither extreme materializes, with mean reversion keeping action between boundaries amid low-conviction flows—a high-probability path given current volatility contraction.
What to Watch Next:
Monitor volume profile shifts at range boundaries, particularly upside rejection or absorption spikes signaling true direction. Track momentum divergence on RSI/MACD for early warnings of exhaustion versus building strength. Eye liquidity sweeps—wicks probing beyond recent highs/lows without close—as precursors to expansion, alongside open interest changes for leverage unwind clues.
Risk Note:
Range trading amplifies whipsaw potential, where thin liquidity post-holidays heightens fakeout probabilities; position sizing must account for volatility expansion risks absent clear structure breaks.
In summary, Bitcoin's 17th year opens with chart-defined patience overriding headline hype, demanding confirmation before assigning directional weight.
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