$BTC Has Closed Lower Five Weeks in a Row. These Five Numbers Decide the Sixth. The first one lands Tuesday morning, before U.S. markets open. $BTC trades in the mid-$70,000s after its fifth straight weekly loss, and this week’s damage came more from the Nasdaq than from the election. 80%. After October payrolls rose 165,000 against about 65,000 expected, futures price a 77% to 80% chance of a December Fed hike. 3.7%. September’s annual inflation rate. October CPI arrives Tuesday at 8:30 a.m. Eastern, with ING expecting 0.3% monthly gains in both headline and core. A clearly softer print is the main thing that would weaken the hike case. 5.5%. Bitcoin fell about 5.5% on Thursday, the day the Nasdaq dropped 5.52%, its worst session since April 2025, on fears that Democratic control of Congress could slow AI data-center construction. Chip stocks fell about 12%, crypto miners 15% to 20%, and $1 billion in leveraged bets was liquidated. $1.28 billion. Outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs from November 2 to 6, including $430 million on Thursday. $76,536. The 200-day EMA, which Bitcoin lost on Thursday, closing at $76,088. Reclaiming it points toward the 50-day EMA near $79,800. Below, the September low at $74,968 and the 50% retracement at $72,598 are the levels traders watch. $BTC has traded the Nasdaq’s mood all week. If Tuesday’s number runs hot while chips stay weak, it faces both headwinds at once, with PPI on Friday and Fed speakers in between.