Bitcoin just printed 77694.6, holding near the lower end of its daily range, and has yet to reclaim the 50-period mean on any timeframe. The four-hour structure broke to the downside, which aligns with daily momentum staying weak at 36.3, though the hourly chart shows a structure break up and a brief reclaim attempt in the 77545.0–77610.0 fair value gap. Contradiction between hourly upward pressure and a broader bearish break puts 79429.07, the four-hour 50-period average, as the level that would challenge continuation lower.
Ethereum sits at 2264.17, heavy relative to daily structure, with momentum on the daily still depressed at 33.3. Four-hour structure broke lower, but the one-hour chart is starting to build a base and just broke structure up. The 2258.08–2260.94 hourly fair value gap is in play, but any retrace to the 2309.94 four-hour 50-period mean would need fresh energy. Unless higher timeframes start to respond, hourly support alone will not reverse the broader trend. Not financial advice.