WEEKLY MACRO AND RISK CALENDAR | OCTOBER 12–16, 2026 WEEKLY THEME After September's Fed hike to 3.75–4.00%, focus shifts to U.S. CPI, PPI and retail sales. Central bank speeches add rate uncertainty. ECONOMIC CALENDAR Monday, October 12 🇺🇸 Columbus Day: U.S. bond markets closed; Fed releases move to Tuesday 🇨🇦 Canadian Thanksgiving; liquidity may be thin. Tuesday, October 13 🇦🇺 RBA minutes 🇩🇪 Germany final CPI | 09:00 🇺🇸 Fed Governor speech, New Delhi | 10:45 🇺🇸 JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and Wells Fargo earnings 🇪🇺 ECB President speech | Wednesday 05:10 Wednesday, October 14 🇨🇳 China CPI | 04:30 🇬🇧 BoE Governor speech | 08:30 🇨🇦 BoC Governor speech | 09:05 🇪🇺 ECB President speech | 11:30 🇺🇸 CPI | 15:30; Beige Book | 21:00 🇺🇸 Morgan Stanley and Bank of America earnings Thursday, October 15 🇦🇺 Employment | 03:30 🇨🇭 SNB President speech | 07:30 🇬🇧 GDP | 09:00; BoE speech | 10:30 🇪🇺 Eurozone industrial production | 12:00 🇺🇸 PPI, retail sales, jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed index | 15:30 🇺🇸 Fed Chair discussion with IMF chief | Friday 06:30; BoE speech | Friday 05:00 Friday, October 16 🇪🇺 Eurozone final CPI | 12:00 🇺🇸 Import/export prices | 15:30 🇺🇸 Industrial production and capacity use | 16:15 CRYPTO IMPACT AND WEEKLY RISKS The key risk is U.S. CPI Wednesday at 15:30. Hot inflation could lift hike expectations, the dollar and yields, pressuring BTC and altcoins. Softer data could support risk appetite, but Thursday's PPI and retail sales may reverse the move. Strong spending and hot producer prices Thursday could reinforce the Fed's hawkish stance and trigger crypto-futures volatility. Central bank speeches may shift rate expectations. The Fed Chair's Friday 06:30 TRT discussion could affect Asian trading. The Beige Book adds context after CPI. U.S. bond markets are closed Monday, so liquidity may be thin. Crypto trades 24/7; bank earnings may affect risk sentiment. $BTC $ETH