Bitcoin is back in the spotlight as traders wait for the latest FOMC minutes.
The big question:
Will the Fed hike again in October — or pause?
📉 Current market expectations put the probability of a 25-basis-point October hike at just 21.6%.
That’s a major shift in rate expectations.
And for crypto, this matters.
A potential Fed pause could ease pressure on financial conditions and improve risk appetite — potentially creating a stronger environment for BTC and other risk assets.
But there’s a catch. ⚠️
Bitcoin is still facing pressure from:
• A stronger U.S. dollar
• Elevated Treasury yields
• Risk-off sentiment
• Uncertainty around Fed policy
So the FOMC minutes could become a major volatility catalyst for BTC.
🟢 Dovish Fed:
Pause expectations → Liquidity hopes → Potential BTC upside
🔴 Hawkish Fed:
Higher-rate fears → Risk-off sentiment → Potential BTC pressure
🔥 The real question:
Is October shaping up to be the Fed pause Bitcoin bulls have been waiting for — or could the market get another surprise?
Keep an eye on BTC + Fed expectations + Treasury yields.
What do you think? 👇
Bullish or bearish for Bitcoin?