⚡ Пробой SHORT подтверждён закрытой 5m-свечой у уровня 1.18.

закрытие 1.18 / уровень 1.18 · объём 1.46× / ориентир 1.25×

📉 SHORT · $SUI (SUI/USDT) · downside scenario · context 15m, indicators 15m, trigger 5m

📉 Event: confirmed 15m structural downside breakout; 5m retest has not happened yet.

📊 MARKET

💵 Price: $1.1812 · 1h -0.15% · 24h +2.73%.

💧 1h volume: $3,410,609.805 · trades 18,599.

📊 M5 activity: volume $728,680.1937 · trades 1,623 · activity score 53/100.

📚 Order book ±1%: depth $1,649,306.0523 · spread 0.01%.

🛡️ DATA CHECKS AND MARKET TYPE

✅ Data audit: passed · 5m/15m closed-candle checks are passed.

✅ Market quality: passed.

🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks did not pass ❗

🏷️ Context: Spot analytical hypothesis; no short position is opened automatically.

🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE

🧭 Trigger state: breakout observation published separately; retest is required for confirmation.

📉 Structural downside breakout recorded.

🔎 Trigger checks:

↩️ Retest: no ❗

🕯️ 5m bearish close: no ❗

💧 Volume filter: not available · not passed ❗

🔵 Trigger level: $1.182.

🕯️ 5m candle context: confirmation is not available ❗

📉 SHORT context: EMA50 $1.182 · VWAP $1.1728.

📊 Indicators:

〽️ EMA 21: $1.1846 · price below

〽️ EMA 50: $1.182 · price below

〽️ EMA 200: $1.1719 · price above

⚖️ VWAP: $1.1728 · price above

🌡️ RSI 14: 47.5

🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY

📐 24h dealing range: $1.1271–$1.2186 · EQ $1.1729 · price is in Premium.

🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array in the required range half ❗

💎 SHORT analysis uses the Premium half of the range; Discount alone does not strengthen a sell scenario. ❗

🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN

🔻 SHORT entry: a 5m close below $1.182 · confirmation pending.

🛑 SHORT stop/invalidation: a 5m close above $1.1886.

🎯 SHORT TP1 · 1R: $1.1753 · theoretical level.

🏁 SHORT TP2 · 2R: $1.1687 · theoretical level.

🧪 STATISTICS

📈 Confirmed downside impulses in 24h: 2.

🎲 Probability: no calibrated percentage yet; retest outcomes are still insufficient.

⚠️ Analytical draft only, not a trading recommendation or order. Verify levels on the chart and account for your own risk ❗

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