⚡ Достигнут стоп сценария SHORT.

закрытие 0.0186 / уровень 0.0186 · объём 3.52× / ориентир 1.25×

📉 SHORT · $PLUME (PLUME/USDT) · downside scenario · context 15m, indicators 15m, trigger 5m

📍 Scenario: Premium zone unavailable; tracking a technical EMA50 retest.

📊 MARKET

💵 Price: $0.01895 · 1h +1.66% · 24h -10.36%.

💧 1h volume: $184,176.5357 · trades 2,977.

📊 M5 activity: volume $59,265.4842 · trades 570 · activity score 74/100.

📚 Order book ±1%: depth $123,848.4262 · spread 0.05%.

🛡️ DATA CHECKS AND MARKET TYPE

✅ Data audit: passed · 5m/15m closed-candle checks are passed.

✅ Market quality: passed.

🛡️ Risk assessment: BLOCKED · mandatory checks did not pass ❗

🏷️ Context: Spot analytical hypothesis; no short position is opened automatically.

🧭 TECHNICAL PICTURE

🧭 Trigger state: Premium zone unavailable; tracking a technical EMA50 retest ❗

📉 Structural downside breakout recorded.

🔎 Trigger checks:

↩️ Retest: no ❗

🕯️ 5m bearish close: no ❗

💧 Volume filter: not available · not passed ❗

🔵 Trigger level: $0.01864157.

🕯️ 5m candle context: confirmation is not available ❗

📉 SHORT context: EMA50 $0.01864157 · VWAP $0.01933701.

📊 Indicators:

〽️ EMA 21: $0.01857205 · price above

〽️ EMA 50: $0.01864157 · price above

〽️ EMA 200: $0.01869721 · price above

⚖️ VWAP: $0.01933701 · price below

🌡️ RSI 14: 49.9

🧱 STRUCTURE AND PD ARRAY

📐 24h dealing range: $0.01825–$0.0212 · EQ $0.019725 · price is in Discount.

🧱 No verified OB/BB/PD Array in the required range half ❗

💎 SHORT analysis uses the Premium half of the range; Discount alone does not strengthen a sell scenario. ❗

🎯 OBSERVATION PLAN

🔻 SHORT entry: a 5m close below $0.01864157 · confirmation pending.

🛑 SHORT stop/invalidation: a 5m close above $0.01866.

🎯 SHORT TP1 · 1R: $0.01862314 · theoretical level.

🏁 SHORT TP2 · 2R: $0.01860471 · theoretical level.

🧪 STATISTICS

📈 Confirmed downside impulses in 24h: 2.

🎲 Probability: no calibrated percentage yet; retest outcomes are still insufficient.

⚠️ Analytical draft only, not a trading recommendation or order. Verify levels on the chart and account for your own risk ❗

#PLUME #CryptoAnalysis #Earlyradar_onchain #RiskManagement #Binance_Square