Using my newly developed quantitative analysis named the Kinematic Retracement Model, traders can project the directional trend, precise price target, and estimated date and time. The model enhances the traditional 50% retracement direction formula by factoring in historical asset velocity, and is called the Dynamic Time Projection formula. The predictive accuracy of this model is demonstrated herein using Bitcoin (BTC) data.
The Macro Data Inputs $BTC
Point A (2025 High): $126,198.07
Point B (2026 Low): $52,655.02
Historical Drop Speed: $278.57 per day
📉 Downward Swing Calculation (Bearish Impulse)
Since the price dropped from a high (Point A) to a low (Point B), we use the 50% retracement direction formula to project the relief bounce target:
Move Range (A - B): (126,198.07 - 52,655.02 = $73,543.05
Point C Target Price:
Point C target = (B + (A - B)) x 0.5 =(52,655.02 + 73,543.05) x 0.50 = $89,426.55
Integrating Time & Speed
If the market recovers from the low (Point B) at the exact same speed at which it fell ($278.57 per day), we find the exact reach date by using the Dynamic Time Projection formula:
Distance to Point C:
Distance = C - B = 89,426.55 - 52,655.02 = $36,771.53Days to Reach Target:
Days = Distance/Speed $36,771.53/$278.57 per day = 132.0 Days
Final Kinematic Projection according to the Kinematic Retracement Model is:
Price Level Expected: $89,426.55
Time Horizon Required: Exactly 132 days from the date Point B was established (June 27, 2026).
Anticipated Target Date: November 6, 2026
#TheKinematicRetracementModel #TheDynamicTimeProjectionFormula #BTCPrediction
Always "DYOR"
