Man, this is a solid pull. The 50W EMA has historically been one of the most reliable macroeconomic trend filters we have in crypto, and people tend to get way too lost in the daily noise. Zooming out to the weekly chart and seeing a clean close above that moving average is exactly the kind of structural shift you want to see for long-term momentum. An 84% success rate for signaling the end of a bear market is definitely not a metric to ignore, and it gives a really strong data-driven foundation for a bullish thesis rather than just relying on market sentiment.

That being said, jumping straight to a $90K target off a single weekly close feels a bit premature to me. The broader macro environment is vastly different this cycle compared to the historical data making up that 84% stat we are dealing with entirely different liquidity profiles, sticky interest rates, and institutional ETF flows that fundamentally alter volatility patterns. A weekly close above the 50 EMA is a great first step, but we absolutely need to see sustained volume confirmation and a clean break of immediate local resistance before we start casually throwing around near-six-figure price tags. If we flip back below and fail a retest of the EMA as support, this could easily turn into a harsh bull trap. I'm staying cautiously optimistic, but I want to see how the monthly close shapes up before scaling in heavier $BTC