FOMC drops in a few hours (2PM ET)
Current rate: 3.50-3.75%
Expected: 3.75-4.00%
Market's pricing in 25bps hike but the real alpha is in the guidance
25bps hike → Risk-off, $BTC likely bleeds
Hold → Relief pump incoming
Cut → Full degen mode, risk-on
$BTC sitting sub-$76k rn. Watching Powell's tone + Warsh comments for liquidity clues. If they pivot dovish we rip. If hawkish into Q2, brace for chop.
Current rate: 3.50-3.75%
Expected: 3.75-4.00%
Market's pricing in 25bps hike but the real alpha is in the guidance
25bps hike → Risk-off, $BTC likely bleeds
Hold → Relief pump incoming
Cut → Full degen mode, risk-on
$BTC sitting sub-$76k rn. Watching Powell's tone + Warsh comments for liquidity clues. If they pivot dovish we rip. If hawkish into Q2, brace for chop.
