Markets are now pricing in around 92%+ odds of a 25-bps Fed rate hike at today’s meeting. That would take the target range to 3.75%–4.00%.
So the hike itself may not be the biggest surprise.
👀 The real focus is what Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says about the path ahead.
A hawkish message could keep yields high and put pressure on risk assets like $BTC and $ETH .
A dovish tone could give crypto some relief.
The backdrop is already difficult: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields have moved above 5%, while oil prices remain above $100, adding to inflation concerns.
So today, I’m watching one thing:
Will the Fed signal more hikes — or give the market a reason to breathe?
🟢 Dovish → BTC/ETH could react higher
🔴 Hawkish → More pressure on crypto
⚡ Surprise → Expect volatility
What do you think? BTC pumps 🚀 or gets rejected 📉?
Not financial advice — market analysis only.