The market is getting ready for another important macro event. Nonfarm payrolls came in stronger than expected, which shows that the US job market is still holding up pretty well.
Now the big question is… what happens when CPI comes out? 👀
Will the Fed hike rates, or will they decide to hold?
Personally, I’m leaning a little bearish in the short term. If CPI comes in hotter than expected, it could increase pressure on the Fed to keep rates higher for longer. That could be bad news for stocks and other risk assets, while volatility could pick up.
But if CPI comes in lower than expected, things could change pretty quickly. A softer inflation number might bring back hopes for a more dovish Fed and could be positive for stocks and gold.
For now, I’m not rushing into any trade. I’d rather see the CPI numbers first and then decide.
What do you think — bullish or bearish? 🤔
Are you holding stocks, gold, or staying in cash before CPI? Share your trade and your reason below.