🇺🇸 CLARITY ACT: 16 days until the vote that decides crypto's future in America.

Here's where things stand:

The House passed it 294–134 in July 2025 with 78 Democrats voting yes.

The Senate Banking Committee advanced it 15–9 in May 2026, but the full Senate vote was delayed when Democrats refused to move without ethics rules on Trump's crypto profits.

Passage odds have collapsed from 82% in February to roughly 14% today, per Polymarket.

The cloture vote is set for September 15, the day after senators return from recess, and it needs 60 votes to survive.

If it fails, the bill is effectively dead for 2026, with only 14 working days left before the October election recess.

Meanwhile, the SEC isn't waiting: it proposed "Regulation Crypto Assets" on August 18, its first standalone crypto offering framework, drawing directly from the CLARITY Act's own definitions.

The CFTC is also moving independently, with Chair Selig directing staff to build prediction-market and crypto rules under existing authority.

Crypto regulation is coming either way.

The only question is whether Congress writes the rules or the regulators do.

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