Fed Chair Kevin Warsh opens a hawkish tone in his speech:

1. Inflation has improved, but underlying trends remain sticky.

2. The Fed remains firmly committed to its 2% PCE target.

3. The economy remains resilient, with healthy spending, stable jobs, and rising business investment.

4. Financial conditions may not be restrictive enough.

5. A “good majority” of Fed officials favored waiting before changing rates.

Warsh is signaling that rate cuts may not come easily.

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