🫠U.S. oil refiners are facing a looming supply squeeze from Canada, their largest foreign crude supplier.
This supply squeeze when domestic refining operations have accelerated to near-record utilization rates.

👉🏼This critical supply bottleneck stems from a

•convergence of local pipeline constraints
•severe international export drop
•unprecedented regional processing runs

🔴Main reasons behind the looming crude drop

✍🏼The Canadian squeeze :

•Canada normally channels over 4 million barrels of crude daily to the U.S.
•However technical constraint and regional distribution adjustments in Alberta are beginning to curb southward export allocations.

✍🏼Midwest Volunerability :

•Refiners in the U.S Midwest are the most heavily exposed to this shock.
Because they rely on Canadian crude imports for nearly 70% of their total supply.

✍🏼Collapsing International Flows :

•A severe collapse in global oil exports from Iran , Russia and Saudi Arabia- aggravated by the ongoing blockades near the Strait of Hormuz- has cut off traditional alternative heavy crude blends.

✍🏼Mexico Redirecting supplies :

•Mexico state owned Pemex has been slashing heavy crude exports to the U.S Gulf coast by 200,000 to 250,000 barrels per day to feed its own expanding domestic refining footprint.

#USRefinersFaceLoomingCrudeSupplyDrop

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