📊 $ETH – short-term LONG scenario

Time: 15m / 1h

Data status: live · valid until 21.08.26, 18:37

Technical probability: Long approx. 66% | Short approx. 34%

This distribution describes the current technical orientation, not the guaranteed probability of success.

Observation plan

Zone: 2'386.49–2'390.34 USDT

Stop-Loss: 2'370.87 USDT

TP1: 2'410.46 USDT

TP2: 2'421.16 USDT

TP3: 2'431.86 USDT

Chance/Risk to TP1: 0.92% course distance | 0.73% to stop-loss

Briefly explained

15m / 1h show a clear technical advantage for Long. However, the scenario is only more resilient after confirmation at the observation zone. A reaction to the zone and a candle confirmation remain important.

Positive factors

+ 15m / 1h: Both time planes support the upward direction.

Risks

! Fast counter-movements and fakeouts remain possible even with a technically clean construction.

When will the scenario become invalid?

The scenario is technically invalid if the price falls below 2,370.87 USDT.

Important: This scenario can also fail or end as a fakeout. Stop-Loss and TP1-TP3 are mathematical observation marks, not an order or leverage recommendation. No financial advice - research yourself before each decision, check current data and only take a personally bearable risk.

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