Most likely scenario: ↗️ Upside with a short correction
Current price: 75,155
Very important resistance: 75,785
If it breaks above 75,800 and holds there → I expect an extension toward 76,200–76,800.
If it fails around 75,500–75,800 → a correction toward 74,900–74,600 is possible.
As long as it remains above 74,400–74,500 on the 15-minute timeframe, the bullish structure remains intact.
A clear break below 74,400 would weaken the bullish scenario and could open the way toward 73,800–74,000.
My personal read right now:
📈 Bullish: ~60%
📉 Sideways/bearish correction: ~40%
The level I’m watching most closely is 75,785.
If it breaks through with strong volume, I believe the next move could be relatively fast.
🔺 The reason I’m not giving the bullish scenario a higher probability is that the rise has been very sharp, the 5-minute indicators have started to lose some momentum, and the market has already seen massive liquidation of Short positions. CoinDesk +1
Bottom line: I think there’s a higher probability that we’ll see a test of 75,800 first, followed by either a breakout toward 76K+ or a quick pullback to retest around 75K.
#BTC走势分析
Current price: 75,155
Very important resistance: 75,785
If it breaks above 75,800 and holds there → I expect an extension toward 76,200–76,800.
If it fails around 75,500–75,800 → a correction toward 74,900–74,600 is possible.
As long as it remains above 74,400–74,500 on the 15-minute timeframe, the bullish structure remains intact.
A clear break below 74,400 would weaken the bullish scenario and could open the way toward 73,800–74,000.
My personal read right now:
📈 Bullish: ~60%
📉 Sideways/bearish correction: ~40%
The level I’m watching most closely is 75,785.
If it breaks through with strong volume, I believe the next move could be relatively fast.
🔺 The reason I’m not giving the bullish scenario a higher probability is that the rise has been very sharp, the 5-minute indicators have started to lose some momentum, and the market has already seen massive liquidation of Short positions. CoinDesk +1
Bottom line: I think there’s a higher probability that we’ll see a test of 75,800 first, followed by either a breakout toward 76K+ or a quick pullback to retest around 75K.
#BTC走势分析