🚨 SPCX: ANALYST DROPS A BIG WARNING ⚠️
Phillip Securities has reiterated a SELL rating on SPCX and maintained a $75 price target — implying roughly 46% downside from the reported $140 price. 📉
But the numbers behind the business are anything but weak:
📈 Q2 2026 revenue: $7.8B — up 92% YoY
🤖 AI revenue: up 247% YoY
☁️ Cloud services: Initial ramp reached $1.6B
🛰️ Connectivity revenue: up 66% YoY
💰 Cash & securities: around $85.7B
So why the SELL?
The analyst's biggest concern is AI-driven revenue durability. They believe some of the AI growth may be less sustainable, while cloud contracts can potentially be terminated after an initial period.
⚠️ Other risks highlighted:
• Space segment lost $542M at the operating line
• Capex reached 2.4× revenue
• ARPU fell 22% YoY
• Growth is moving toward lower-priced markets
• AI revenue is becoming an increasingly important part of the growth story
🔥 The setup is fascinating:
Strong growth + massive AI expansion vs. a valuation that one analyst believes is far too high.
$140 → $75 target.
Would you buy the dip if SPCX actually falls toward $75, or is the analyst warning worth taking seriously? 👀
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