📊 $SOL – technical market situation

Price: 76.17 USDT | 4h analysis price: 76.31 USDT (closed candle)

Trend & Momentum

Trend: negative | Momentum: stable

4h upward facing | 1T without clear direction | 1W without clear direction

End of day 76.02 USDT: EMA20 +1.09 % | EMA50 +0.68% | EMA200 -14.84 %. EMA structure ordered downwards: EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA200.

ADX 8.9 shows a weak trend; −DI 19.3 is over +DI 18.1. RSI14 53.5 (neutral) | MACD histogram 0.1508 (positive, but loses strength) | ROC12 +2.67%

Volume & Fluctuation

Volume 96.04 million USDT (-58.45% time adjusted) | CVD -1.85 % (balanced) | OBV increasing

Volatility low: relative ATR 2.71% | Yang-Zhang 33.15%

Market context

Drawdowns: 30T -3.44% | 180T -22.6% | 365T -69.95 %

Strength vs. BTC: 30T +1.13 % | 90T +6.2 % | Beta 1.25 | Korr. 0.83 (similar to BTC)

Market width (12): over EMA50 50% | EMA200 16.67% | pos. 30T-Momentum 50%

Structure: Downward trend. Support 72.57–74.21 USDT; Resistance 75.97–77.62 USDT.

Positive factors

+ SOL is 69.95% below its 365-day high.

+ SOL is 22.6% below its 180-day high.

Risks

! The long-term weighted weekly chart remains technically weak.

! The price is below EMA200 on the daily chart.

Briefly explained

SOL gains some stability after a weaker phase.

• In the short term, the price moves upwards, sideways in the daily picture and sideways in the longer-term weekly picture.

• The longer-term course is slowly improving, while the recent price movement does not yet show a clear additional strength.

• The price is about 70% below the highest price of the last 365 days. The price fluctuations are currently comparatively quiet.

Purely technical-mathematical analysis; news, events, fundamentals and market sentiment are currently not taken into account. No forecast and no buy or sell signal.

#SOL #solana