How to know when to buy, sell and stay out

1. When to CONSIDER BUYING
Look for 2-3 of these lining up, not just one:

- Market sentiment is fearful: When everyone’s panicking, "Crypto Fear & Greed Index" is in "Extreme Fear." Historically that’s when good entries happen
Bitcoin dominance + support levels: If BTC is holding a major support level and bouncing, alts usually follow. Big buyers step in at those zones
Fundamentals: New project launch, halving cycle, major adoption news, or you’ve done your research and believe in the long-term
Dollar Cost Averaging: Most beginners do better buying a small fixed amount weekly/monthly vs trying to nail the exact bottom

2. When to CONSIDER SELLING / TAKING PROFITS
- Greed is extreme: Fear & Greed Index in "Extreme Greed" + everyone on TikTok/WhatsApp is talking crypto
- You hit your target: Decide your exit price _before_ you buy. E.g. "I’ll sell 25% at 2x, 50% at 3x". Don’t move the goalpost
- Breaking major support: If BTC breaks and closes below a key weekly support level with volume, it can signal a bigger drop
- You need the money: Never invest money you’ll need in the next 6-12 months. Sell before you’re forced to

3. When to STAY OUT
- You don’t understand it: If you can’t explain what the coin does in 1 sentence, don’t buy
- High volatility + no plan: If a 20% drop will make you panic sell, you’re not ready
- Market is choppy/no trend: Sideways markets for weeks = lots of fakeouts. Pros often just wait
- Major uncertainty: Big regulation news, exchange collapse, macro events. Cash is also a position

4. Three Tools traders actually use
1. *Fear & Greed Index: 0-100. <20 = fear, >80 = greed
2. Bitcoin Halving Cycle: BTC tends to peak ∼12-18 months after a halving. The last one was April 2024
3. Risk Management: Never put more than 1-5% of your portfolio in one coin. Use stop-losses

Crypto is extremely volatile and risky. This is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and consider talking to a licensed financial advisor.
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