$COW Monetary policy: Traders lower their bets on Fed rate hikes ahead of mid-2027!

In light of softer U.S. economic data (notably slowing retail sales), markets are adjusting their expectations. The pressure for a prolonged tightening cycle from the Federal Reserve is easing.

Key takeaways:

Adjustment of expectations: Investors are scaling back bets on aggressive tightening out to the mid-2027 horizon.

Market impact: More moderate bond yields could provide potential support for risk assets, depending on future inflation releases.

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