People are starting to notice the cycle math again.
Same pattern twice in a row:
- Bull runs last ~1,064 days
- Bears last ~364 days
If it holds, we're looking at a top around early June and a bottom by October.
But here's the thing — everyone posting these charts is basically betting the third time works exactly like the first two. That's not how markets usually work when the trade gets too obvious.
ETF flows, macro environment, leverage — none of that's the same as 2017 or 2021. Could easily stretch longer or break early.
The pattern's interesting. Just don't build your whole position around it repeating perfectly.
Same pattern twice in a row:
- Bull runs last ~1,064 days
- Bears last ~364 days
If it holds, we're looking at a top around early June and a bottom by October.
But here's the thing — everyone posting these charts is basically betting the third time works exactly like the first two. That's not how markets usually work when the trade gets too obvious.
ETF flows, macro environment, leverage — none of that's the same as 2017 or 2021. Could easily stretch longer or break early.
The pattern's interesting. Just don't build your whole position around it repeating perfectly.