🔐 END-OF-DAY MARKET REPORT — August 12, 2026

🌐 TODAY’S TOP HEADLINES

U.S. July CPI came in at 0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year — core CPI was 0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, in line with expectations; a slight slowdown was recorded from June’s 3.5%.

According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a September rate hike fell to 42% after the CPI data; Treasury yields moved lower following the release.

Funds belonging to merchants with Lightning nodes affected by the BTCPay Server vulnerability were stolen — the security risk remains a source of pressure on the market.

Iran continues to maintain its position that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until its conditions are met; Trump’s compensation demand has undermined expectations of relief.

Bloomberg reported that the Trump administration is considering a capital gains tax cut ahead of the midterm elections — potentially the first major broad-based cut since 2003.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $7.8 million in net inflows on Tuesday, led by BlackRock IBIT.

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₿ BITCOIN

BTC fell to $63,200 due to leveraged position liquidations ahead of CPI this morning before recovering to the $64,000-$64,200 range; as the data came in line with expectations, reduced rate-hike pressure provided support for risk assets. The $62,700-$65,200 range remains the main trading range of recent days; a breakout above $65,200 could open the $66,800 target, while a close below $62,700 could bring the $62,000-$62,400 area into focus. The Fear & Greed Index stands at 37 (Fear), while BTC’s correlation with the S&P 500 remains high at 84.5%.

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🔷 ETHEREUM & ALTCOINS

ETH was trending higher ahead of CPI, trading in the $ 1,880-$ 1,915 range and opening 0.5% higher than yesterday. XRP continues to defend the psychological $ 1level. The broader altcoin market showed a mild recovery in line with BTC after CPI came in as expected.

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📋 TOP CRYPTO NEWS

In the BLS July CPI report, shelter prices rose 0.1% month-over-month, accounting for approximately two-thirds of the overall increase; energy prices fell 1.5% monthly but remained 14.7% higher year-over-year.

Strategy’s official Bitcoin ledger shows that the company sold 1,690 BTC for approximately $ 1.09 million at an average price of $64,262 during the August 5-12 week — its second consecutive weekly sale.

CaptainAltcoin reported that during midterm election years, sharp August declines typically begin during the first two weeks of the month, although the 2026 pattern has not yet become clear.

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🔓 TOKEN UNLOCKS

Story Protocol (IP)

August 13, 2026

Amount: ~1.7% of total supply — 17.5 million tokens

Recipient profile: Private Investors + Insiders + Community

Selling pressure: 🟡

Note: The original February 2026 unlock was delayed by six months to reduce supply pressure; this is the first major unlock.

YZY

August 16, 2026

Amount: ~$35.47 million (22.83% of the planned token distribution)

Recipient profile: Distributed among three separate allocation groups

Selling pressure: 🔴

Note: One of the most dilutive individual unlocks of August.

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🔭 OUTLOOK & UPCOMING EVENTS

The CPI coming in line with expectations pushed the probability of a September rate hike down to 42%, creating a mildly supportive backdrop for risk assets in the short term. However, elevated annual energy prices and uncertainty stemming from the Middle East continue to keep the inflation outlook fragile. Strategy’s second consecutive weekly BTC sale is being watched as a sign of weakening institutional demand. The Story Protocol unlock on August 13 and the YZY unlock on August 16 could become sources of volatility across altcoins in the coming days. If the scope of the BTCPay Server vulnerability expands, crypto infrastructure security could once again become a major market concern.