BTC is down 26% YTD in 2026 but just posted its strongest weekly bounce in a month — is this the floor or another bull trap?

$BTC/USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 63,800 - 64,600
SL: 62,500
TP1: 66,500 TP2: 68,200 TP3: 70,000

Why this setup?
- BTC has recovered from the ~$60K flash-crash low earlier this year back into the mid-$60Ks, holding as the market's dominance anchor near 57% of total crypto market cap.
- Weekly performance has turned positive even as the yearly chart stays deeply red — classic base-building behavior after a sharp correction.
- Institutional flows (Grayscale rebalancing, BNB/ETH ETF activity) show capital still rotating within crypto rather than fully exiting, a supportive backdrop for BTC as the primary on-ramp.
- Live check: RSI 1H at 70.5, ATR 1H at 174.3, funding 0.0082%

Debate:
Is a -26% YTD Bitcoin basing for a Q4 recovery, or just a slower bleed before the next leg down?

Must watch: $APR +87.63% (top gainer), $BLUAI -55.72% (top loser)

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