XRP is sitting in the bottom 5.6% of its own 100-day range.

Not a crash. A grind. The daily EMA stack rolled over — 9 at 1.0381, 21 at 1.0595, 50 at 1.0978 — and price has spent this stretch pressed against the floor while the top of that same range is 1.5496. The 24h move is +1.03%. Only the 15-minute chart has a bullish stack. That is the entire bull case.

1.0220 is where $XRP is decided — 24 measured touches on the 4h. Hold it and the short-term structure keeps working. Lose 1.0110 and the next real shelf is the range low at 0.9915.

The uncomfortable part: this bounce is arriving on 0.54x average hourly volume. Price went up. Participation did not.

Against the majors this is not a leading move — $BTC and $SOL set the risk tone and XRP is following it, so a floor test here only counts if the majors stay steady.

Does 1.0220 hold, or does the 25th touch break it?

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Analysis, not financial advice.