GM Market Briefing☕
Wednesday, August 12 2026

$BTC Outlook (UTC 0):
🟨00:00–09:00 → Sideways => Asian session consolidation. Bitcoin holding near 63.7k after yesterdays Existing Home Sales miss. Markets are waiting for the CPI nuclear data. No conviction yet.
🟨09:00–11:00 → Sideways => London open with low volume. CPI anticipation builds. Traders are positioning for the data dump at 12:30 UTC. Sideways drift with a slight bullish bias.
🟩11:00–15:00 → Up => CPI hits at 12:30 UTC. Headline CPI expected to cool from 3.5% to 3.4% YoY and from -0.4% to 0.1% MoM. Core CPI expected to cool from 2.6% to 2.5% YoY. This is a dovish disinflation signal that crushes the DXY and sends Bitcoin soaring towards 65.5k.
🟨15:00–18:00 → Sideways => Afternoon US session. Crude Oil Inventories at 14:30 UTC expected at -1.300M from 2.479M previous. A drawdown is bullish for oil and stagflationary, capping the upside. Profit-taking emerges. BTC pulls back towards 64.5k.
🟨18:00–00:00 → Sideways => Late US close. 10-Year Note Auction at 17:00 UTC at 4.580%. Sideways consolidation into the overnight. No clear direction.
Bias: Bullish
RSI: 47.21
#NFA #DYOR 🔥
Not a buy/sell signal🛑
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📉 Headline CPI expected to cool to 3.4% from 3.5%. Dovish = DXY down.
📉 Core CPI expected to cool to 2.5% from 2.6%. Dovish = BTC up.
🏛️ Negative NFP (-23K) already confirmed labour market weakness. The Fed must pivot.
📊 RSI at 47.21, near lower BB. Upside potential is significant.
💎 Strategy: Go LONG on CPI confirmation. Target 65.5k-66k. Take profits before the crude data at 14:30 UTC to avoid stagflationary volatility. Do not hold into the weekend. Stay nimble.

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