Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a decisive moment. After defending the 4326 demand zone, buyers have pushed price back toward a descending trendline that has been acting as resistance. The chart now suggests that a breakout could open the door for another bullish leg if buyers maintain momentum.
Trade Logic
The setup is based on three important technical factors:
✅ 1. Strong Demand Zone
Price previously reacted from the 4326 support area, showing that buyers are still defending this level.
This increases the probability of another bullish attempt.
✅ 2. Descending Trendline Test
Gold is now testing a falling trendline that has rejected price multiple times.
A 5-minute candle closing above the trendline would signal that buyers are taking control.
✅ 3. Bullish Momentum
Consecutive bullish candles indicate increasing buying pressure.
A successful breakout could attract additional buyers and trigger momentum toward higher resistance.
Trade Plan
Entry: After a confirmed candle closes above the descending trendline.
Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or below the demand zone for better protection.
Target 1: 4359
Risk Management: Aim for at least a 1:2 Risk-to-Reward ratio and avoid entering before breakout confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
If Gold closes above the trendline with strong momentum and holds above it during a retest, buyers may target the 4359 resistance shown on the chart.
Bearish Scenario
If the trendline rejects price again, Gold could revisit the 4326 support zone. A break below that level would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the probability of further downside.
