Gold (XAU/USD) is approaching a decisive moment. After defending the 4326 demand zone, buyers have pushed price back toward a descending trendline that has been acting as resistance. The chart now suggests that a breakout could open the door for another bullish leg if buyers maintain momentum.

Trade Logic

The setup is based on three important technical factors:

1. Strong Demand Zone

  • Price previously reacted from the 4326 support area, showing that buyers are still defending this level.

  • This increases the probability of another bullish attempt.

2. Descending Trendline Test

  • Gold is now testing a falling trendline that has rejected price multiple times.

  • A 5-minute candle closing above the trendline would signal that buyers are taking control.

3. Bullish Momentum

  • Consecutive bullish candles indicate increasing buying pressure.

  • A successful breakout could attract additional buyers and trigger momentum toward higher resistance.

Trade Plan

  • Entry: After a confirmed candle closes above the descending trendline.

  • Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low or below the demand zone for better protection.

  • Target 1: 4359

  • Risk Management: Aim for at least a 1:2 Risk-to-Reward ratio and avoid entering before breakout confirmation.

Bullish Scenario

If Gold closes above the trendline with strong momentum and holds above it during a retest, buyers may target the 4359 resistance shown on the chart.

Bearish Scenario

If the trendline rejects price again, Gold could revisit the 4326 support zone. A break below that level would weaken the bullish outlook and increase the probability of further downside.