PPP prediction market tool monitoring shows that the probability of “Yes” in Polymarket’s “Will SpaceX (SPCX) earnings beat expectations?” market is 31%. According to Odaily, the market will settle “Yes” if SpaceX reports GAAP EPS above -$0.29 in its quarterly earnings, and “No” otherwise. If SpaceX does not report GAAP EPS, the market will settle based on GAAP EPS data published by Seeking Alpha.

SpaceX is due to report its first financial results since going public after U.S. stock market close on Tuesday. The company’s stock has continued to pull back since its first trade in June, and as of Monday’s close, it was about 15% below its IPO price of $135. The company’s market value has fallen by more than $50 billion.