#USJobsData *U.S. Jobs Snapshot – September 2025*
- *Jobs added:* 119,000 (non‑farm payrolls) – more than double the 50,000 forecast¹
- *Unemployment rate:* rose to *4.4%* (up 0.1 pp), the highest in four years
- *Labor force:* grew by 470,000 participants; household employment up 251,000
- *Key sectors:*
- *Healthcare & social assistance:* +43,000 jobs
- *Leisure & hospitality:* +47,000 (restaurants +37,000)
- *Retail:* +13,900
- *Construction:* +19,000
- *Manufacturing:* ‑6,000 (fifth straight month of losses)
- *Federal government:* ‑3,000 (‑97,000 YTD)
*Wages & Hours*
- Average hourly earnings +0.2% MoM, +3.8% YoY – in line with Fed’s 3.5% inflation target
*Data quirks*
- August payrolls revised down (‑4,000 vs. prior +22,000) and July‑August revisions shaved 33,000 jobs .
- ADP private‑sector estimate contradicted BLS, showing a loss of 32,000 jobs² .
*Market reaction*
- Global brokerages split on Fed’s December rate cut; CME FedWatch shows ~67% probability of no cut³ .
- Stocks slipped, dollar steady, Treasury yields fell after the release .
Would you like me to break down any part of the report (e.g., sector trends, wage dynamics, or implications for Fed policy)?#USJobsData #USStocksForecast2026