It feels like the market is being driven entirely by headlines right now.
On March 30th, Trump suggested a deal was coming and $BTC jumped $3,000—but later that same day, his comments about striking Iran’s power plants sent it down $2,000. On March 31st, talk of the war ending soon pushed BTC up another $2,000. Then on April 1st, news of US-Iran negotiations added another $1,500 rally. Today, however, his statement that the conflict could continue for a few more weeks triggered a $2,500 drop.
At this stage, it seems nearly impossible to rely on technical or fundamental analysis, as sudden statements are whipsawing both long and short positions.