🚨China’s Open-Source AI Is Bursting the AI Bubble
Silicon Valley bets AI stays a premium luxury. Chinese open-source teams are proving it’s becoming a commodity — fast, free, and world-class.
Key evidence (2025–2026):
DeepSeek-V3: GPT-4 level performance for ~$5.6M (vs. OpenAI’s $3B+)
Qwen 2.5-Max: beats Claude Sonnet on Arena-Hard — completely free
DeepSeek API: ~$0.55/million tokens (20–30× cheaper than OpenAI/Claude)
Hardware edge: Parity with ~2,000 H800 chips via smarter architecture (vs. US chasing 100,000+ H100s)
Market impact:
Magnificent Seven & AI stocks priced for trillions in SaaS revenue and fat margins.
If frontier intelligence turns into a public utility, those growth dreams collapse → massive repricing ahead.
Bottom line:
The era of premium pricing for intelligence is dying.
US big-tech is most exposed.
This isn’t hype — it’s structural disruption repeating the solar/battery playbook.
Watch closely. The bubble’s foundation is cracking faster than headlines admit.
Notifications on — I'll flag the turns early. Stay positioned carefully.
