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Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $106,000 on Binance and most global exchanges, moving sideways within the $105,000–$110,000 range.
As we enter the final quarter of 2025, the market structure increasingly resembles the late stages of previous accumulation phases — notably the 2017–2020 cycle — just before a massive breakout.
Many analysts now believe we are stepping into what could become the long-awaited Bitcoin Super Cycle — an extended bullish era that could drive BTC to new all-time highs at an unprecedented pace.
🔹 What Is the Bitcoin Cycle?
Bitcoin’s price traditionally follows a four-phase cycle that unfolds roughly every 3–4 years, revolving around the Halving event — which cuts mining rewards in half and reduces new supply.
The cycle usually progresses as follows:
1. Accumulation: Smart money and institutions quietly build long positions.
2. Recovery: Price begins to climb gradually as market sentiment improves.
3. Bull Run: Bitcoin reaches explosive all-time highs.
4. Correction: Profit-taking and cooldown before the next cycle begins.
At $106K, Bitcoin appears to be transitioning from the final accumulation stage into the early stages of a major recovery phase.
🔹 Signals Pointing Toward a 2025 Super Cycle
1. Miner reserves have dropped to their lowest level since 2018 — reducing sell pressure.
2. Long-term holders (LTHs) now control over 14 million BTC, accounting for 70%+ of total circulating supply.
3. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are steadily rising across both U.S. and Asian markets.
4. Global liquidity is improving as central banks lean toward easing monetary policies — a strong tailwind for risk assets like Bitcoin.
🔹 Technical Context
Key Support Zone: $105K–$106K — holding above this range is critical to maintain the bullish structure.
Main Resistance Zone: $115K–$117K — a breakout could open the path toward $120K–$125K in the medium term.
Caution Level: A drop below $104K might trigger a short-term correction to $100K before resuming the uptrend.
🔹 Factors That Could Influence the Cycle
Regulatory Developments: New laws or restrictions in major economies could temporarily slow momentum.
Monetary Policy: Unexpected tightening by the Fed or ECB could weigh on liquidity.
Black Swan Events: Exchange disruptions or major project failures remain potential market risks.
💬 Conclusion
At around $106,000, Bitcoin is in a strong consolidation phase that historically precedes powerful rallies.
On-chain data, long-term accumulation, and institutional inflows all point toward one conclusion — the 2025 cycle may be the true beginning of the Super Cycle.
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