btcpullback

Bitcoin ($BTC USD) is showing the first signs of life after nearly testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) early this week. Whether this leads to a full on recovery or not, can been partially answered by this Cycle's price action so far.
Historically we do know that BTC's Bull Cycles so far tend to peak towards the end of their 3rd year and that's 2025. This Cycle has been predominantly trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up, since its very start, the November 2022 bottom. Its 1W MA50 has been supporting since the March 13 2023 break-out, so it's been exactly 2 years of holding and throughout this time period has provided two excellent buy opportunities.
As you can see, the Channel Up can be classified into two main Phases so far: each has a Primary correction (red) of more than -30% drop, followed by a rally (blue), then a Secondary correction (yellow) of more than -20%, followed by the second and last rally (blue). All rallies have so far been around +100%. Based on this model, we are now on the Secondary correction of Phase 2.
Notice that all corrections (either primary or secondary) hit or approached apart from the 1W MA50, the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from their previous Low. This is actually the first time that the price has marginally broken below the 0.382 Fib. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost got oversold last week (34.50) and according to the August 05 2024 (Higher) Low, this is were a series of RSI Higher Lows would be a signal of a new bottom formation.
The bottom and recovery process may take a while though, another 4-6 weeks. According to the Time Fibs (blue dashed vertical lines), each correction (whether primary or secondary) has ended at or a little before the 1.0 Fib with the 0.0 being the bottom of the previous one and 0.5 Fib the Top of the rally. Based on this, we can expect the new rally to start by the week of April 28 the latest.
So now as to how high this can get, if it repeats the 'weakest' rally of the Channel's three so far, it should rise by +95.95%, which gives us a straight price of $150000 as a Target. If the rally symmetry also holds, this should come by late September, perfectly aligning with Bitcoin's historic Cycle expectation for the final year.
Do you think that will be the case? Recovery starting within 4-6 weeks and if so, are you expecting 150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section 👇 below.👇
#BTCNextATH
#BTC150K
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#BTCpullback
$BTC
#MarketRebound
$BNB

Why the rebound question is everywhere in crypto circles

Intro:

Bitcoin has been under pressure recently, with prices dipping and traders asking when the next rebound might happen. While short-term price action is uncertain, there are several factors shaping the discussion around a potential recovery in the coming weeks and months.

What happened

• Bitcoin briefly dropped toward deeper correction levels before bouncing back above some support zones, showing how volatile liquidity and market sentiment remain.

• Broader markets, including stocks and commodities, have also experienced weakness alongside BTC, as global macro uncertainty influenced risk assets.

• Some recent analysis suggests Bitcoin hasn’t yet seen a truly “bad day” this year, but price swings and lower highs have traders debating whether a rebound is imminent or still ahead.

• Institutional demand and spot ETF flows have slowed compared to earlier phases, making rebounds less smooth than in previous cycles.

Why it matters

Crypto markets are emotionally driven, and talk about rebounds often influences how traders and long-term holders think, act, and manage risk. Understanding what factors contribute to a rebound narrative helps users differentiate between hopeful chatter and actual market dynamics. Price movements alone don’t predict the future — they reflect supply, demand, sentiment, and broader economic conditions in real time.

Key takeaways

• Recent BTC price action shows wide swings rather than a clear rebound signal.

• Broader market uncertainty — stocks, commodities, macro news — can impact crypto sentiment.

• Historical “rebounds” often follow periods of consolidation and clearer demand profiles.

• Analysts also point to macro drivers like interest rate expectations and institutional flows as part of rebound timing discussions.

• Rebounds have many definitions: short relief bounce vs broader recovery trend. Understanding the context matters more than waiting for a single trigger.

#BitcoinRebound #BTCPullback #CryptoMarket $BTC #MarketSentiment #CryptoEducation

💥 𝗕𝗶𝘁𝗰𝗼𝗶𝗻 (𝗕𝗧𝗖) 𝗣𝘂𝗹𝗹𝗯𝗮𝗰𝗸 𝗙𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝗥𝗲𝗰𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵 𝗟𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹:
Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced heightened volatility in the past few days, driven by macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and geopolitical events. Following President Trump's announcement of a U.S. strategic crypto reserve, Bitcoin surged to $95,000 before facing a sharp correction. As of today, BTC is trading around $86,000, reflecting a 9% pullback from recent highs.

💥 𝗕𝗧𝗖 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗣𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 – 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁-𝗧𝗲𝗿𝗺 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸:
📈 𝑩𝒖𝒍𝒍𝒊𝒔𝒉 𝑺𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒐:
If BTC reclaims $89,500, a retest of $95,000 is likely.
Breaking above $95,000 could trigger a run toward the psychological $100,000 level.
📉 𝑩𝒆𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒔𝒉 𝑺𝒄𝒆𝒏𝒂𝒓𝒊𝒐:
If BTC falls below $83,500, a test of $81,200 – $80,000 is likely.
Losing $80,000 would shift momentum bearish, targeting $76,500 or even the $72,500 swing low.

$BTC