bitcoinpredictions

سبت سعيد، بينانسيين! عطلة نهاية الأسبوع هنا، وبينما الأسواق التقليدية مغلقة، فإن عالم الكريبتو لا ينام أبدًا. نحن نشهد بعض التحركات الجانبية المثيرة اليوم، ولكن كما يعرف المتداولون ذوو الخبرة، فإن "حجم نهاية الأسبوع" يمكن أن يكون خادعًا. هل هذا تجميع قبل الضخ، أم فخ نصبه الحيتان؟ دعونا نغوص في ذلك.
أثر "نهاية الأسبوع"
تاريخيًا، غالبًا ما يفتقر نشاط الأسعار في عطلة نهاية الأسبوع إلى دعم حجم المؤسسات. هذا يؤدي إلى:
ألعاب وهمية: قد ترتفع الأسعار قليلاً فقط لتنهار ليلة الأحد عندما يحتاج "فجوة الاثنين" إلى الملء.

مرحباً، عائلة العملات المشفرة! 👀 أعلم أنكم رأيتم هذا الادعاء *مليون مرة* هنا في Binance Square، لكن الآن اسم كبير في المالية يقوله بصوت عال وواضح: *ستكون قيمة بيتكوين في النهاية صفر*. 💸💥

أوجين فاما، *"أب المالية الحديثة"*، توقع مؤخرًا أن *بيتكوين* ستصبح بلا قيمة في العقد القادم. *لماذا*؟ حسنًا، يجادل فاما بأن العملات المشفرة، بما في ذلك بيتكوين، *تنتهك جميع قواعد وسيلة التبادل*. 😬

لنغص في التفاصيل ونحلل ما قاله، وكيف يتناسب عالم العملات المشفرة مع *"النموذج الجديد"* لدورات السوق. 📉📈

لماذا يرتفع بيتكوين كل يناير؟ يتم تنشيط التداول بعد العطلة، مما يؤثر على الارتفاعات والفرص الجديدة. ما الذي يجعل مقاومة 50 ألف دولار حاسمة؟ عندما يلامس BTC هذا الرقم، تظهر التاريخ إما ارتفاع قوي أو تصحيح حاد يتبع ذلك. كيف تغذي السياسة العالمية BTC؟ خلال الاضطرابات السياسية، غالبًا ما يشهد بيتكوين ارتفاعًا كأصل 'ملاذ آمن'.

#BitcoinTrends #CryptoAnalysis #BitcoinPredictions #InvestInCrypto #Blockchain

بيتكوين$BTC
, العملة المشفرة الأكثر تداولًا وتقلبًا في العالم، يمكن أن تشهد تحركات سعرية دراماتيكية حتى ضمن نافذة الـ 30 دقيقة$ETH
. بينما لا يمكن لأحد التنبؤ بالمستقبل بشكل كامل، يستخدم المتداولون أدوات مثل التحليل الفني، واتجاهات الحجم، ومعنويات الأخبار، وعلم نفس السوق لتوقع تحركات الأسعار على المدى القصير. في هذه المقالة، سنستكشف ما قد يحدث في نصف ساعة المقبلة من تداول بيتكوين، وكيف يمكنك حماية رأس مالك، وأفضل الطرق لتعظيم الأرباح.

سبتمبر الأخضر النادر لبيتكوين يضيء رمز الغش في التاريخ: الدورات السابقة شهدت ارتفاعات +50% في الربع الرابع. 170,000$ أصبحت فجأة على الخريطة — إذا استمر الزخم.
السياق
بيتكوين تحقق إنجازاً نادراً: إنهاء سبتمبر في المنطقة الخضراء. وعندما يتناغم التاريخ، غالبًا ما يرتفع الربع الأخير بشكل كبير.
أهم النقاط من أداء بيتكوين
بيتكوين على وشك إنهاء سبتمبر بزيادة تقارب 4.50% — شهر “أخضر” نادر تاريخياً مرتبط بارتفاعات قوية في الربع الرابع. مثل هذا الأداء يهيئ بيتكوين لتحقيق مكاسب قوية تاريخياً في الربع الرابع، إذا كانت التاريخ تشير إلى أي شيء.

التوقعات كما هي عادةً متطرفة. البعض يتنبأ ببلوغ البيتكوين 200 ألف بنهاية العام، بينما تحول الآخرون إلى العملات البديلة، في حين قام المتشائمون ببيع BTC الخاصة بهم وينتظرون السوق الهابطة. حان الوقت لنمسح كرة البلور الخاصة بنا ونرى ما يحدث.

🔄 هل سيكون الأمر كما هو دائمًا؟
على عكس ما يبدو، فإن سوق العملات المشفرة يمكن أن يكون متوقعًا تمامًا. البيتكوين ينهي السوق الهابطة أولاً ويبدأ في الارتفاع، ثم يتعرض لتصحيح. العملات البديلة تسجل قفزات حادة وهبوطًا سريعًا. يتكرر الدورة: ارتفاع، تصحيح، لحظة من التماسك ومن ثم مرة أخرى.

Media już krzyczą: Bitcoin bije rekordy! Król rynku powraca! BTC powyżej 118 000 USD! Darujmy sobie jednak chwytliwe nagłówki i zastanówmy się, w którą stronę cena Bitcoina podąży w ciągu najbliższych kilku miesięcy.

💰 Gdzie jesteśmy?
Zacznijmy od tego, gdzie co dzieje się w połowie sierpnia 2025. Kilka dni temu $BTC ustanowił ATH na poziomie 124 tysięcy dolarów z hakiem. Dane on-chain pokazują wysoką płynność i rosnący hashrate. 
Dlaczego akurat teraz? Możemy się tylko domyślać. Zapewne jest to częściowo efekt rekordowego napływu kapitału do ETF-ów Bitcoina. 3 miliardy dolarów w ciągu paru tygodni! Instytucje widać pozazdrościły zyskowności MicroStrategy.
Patrząc fundamentalnie, wojnę z Iranem udało się zażegnać i mamy chwilę politycznego spokoju. Bardziej technicznie, wybicie powyżej $110‑112 tys. otwarło BTC drogę do góry. Bla, bla, bla, bla...
Dobra, wystarczy. Najważniejsze pytanie brzmi po prostu: co dalej? Czy wzrost będzie kontynuowany, czy wprost przeciwnie, są to ostatnie spazmy kończącego się cyklu? Pomóc nam mogą analogie historyczne.
🔥Konto Binance z dożywotnią 20% zniżką na prowizje! Sprawdź!🔥
📅 Nauczki z poprzedniej hossy
W każdym dotychczasowym cyklu Bitcoin osiągał ATH w końcowej fazie hossy, po czym niemal natychmiast wchodził w fazę spadków.
w cyklu 2011–2013: ATH ~1150 USD (grudzień 2013), spadek o ~40% w ciągu miesiącaw cyklu 2015–2017: ATH ~19 500 USD (grudzień 2017), spadek o ~35% w ciągu miesiącaw cyklu 2019–2021: ~69 000 USD (listopad 2021), spadek o ~30% w ciągu miesiąca
Taka statystyka wygląda pięknie, ma jednak zasadniczą wadę - nie wiemy czy dzisiejsze ATH jest już tym ostatecznym i właściwym. 
Na pocieszenie: nikt tego nie wie. 😅 Jeśli ktokolwiek jest na 100% przekonany, że hossa potrwa jeszcze rok, albo przeciwnie, spadki nastąpią już za tydzień - spokojnie możesz zignorować jego opinię.
🚨 🚨 🚨 UWAGA - warto zwrócić uwagę, że ATH występują mniej więcej co 4 lata. Jeśli trend się utrzyma, obecnego można spodziewać się w październiku-listopadzie 2025.
🔍 Wskaźniki przyjacielem inwestora
Dużo sensowniejsze od wróżenia z fusów będzie przyjrzenie się twardym danym. Trzeba tylko pamiętać, że one też nie zawsze mówią całą prawdę.
🌈 1. Bitcoin Rainbow Chart v2
Pokazuje, gdzie Bitcoin znajduje się na tle dotychczasowej historii. Obecnie sugeruje, że jesteśmy w fazie HODL. Nie podaje ceny docelowej w cyklu, ostrożnie możemy szacować ją na około 200 000 dolarów.

📊 2. MVRV Z
Pozwala na identyfikację skrajnego zawyżenia lub zaniżenia ceny $BTC . Sprawdzenie, czy powinniśmy kupować jest w miarę łatwe, moment sprzedaży określić jest znacznie trudniej. Obecny odczyt nie wskazuje jeszcze na przegrzanie. 
📈 3. MACD
Wskaźnik techniczny, bazujący na średnich kroczących, wskazujący długoterminowy trend na rynku. Zarówno odczyt w skali dni jak i tygodni jest pozytywny, co jest bardzo dobrą wiadomością.
⚡4. RSI
Wskaźnik relatywnej siły trendu. W przeciwieństwie do MACD zarówno w skali dziennej jak i tygodniowej wchodzi w strefę ryzyka, wskazując na możliwość korekty.
📋 5. Analiza przeszłości
To nie wskaźnik, ale próba zrozumienia dzisiejszej sytuacji, bazując na danych z poprzednich cykli. Zgodnie z nimi końca hossy powinniśmy się spodziewać w okolicy października 2025, zaś ATH powinno wypaść na poziomie około 140 000 $. Być może 20 tysięcy dolarów więcej w bardzo krótkim wystrzale.
❓ Nie wszystko da się zmierzyć
Rok 2020 pokazał, ile warte są takie próby przewidzenia przyszłości. Medialna panika związana z wirusem Covid 19 w ciągu jednego dnia spowodowała spadek wartości BTC o 30%. Takiego wydarzenie nie uwzględniał żaden model.
Podobna sytuacja może powtórzyć się dziś. Nowa pandemia, powrót wojny na Bliskim Wschodzie, upadek dużego banku, gwałtowna przecena akcji Tesli... Z drugiej strony, możliwa jest też panika zakupów napędzana FOMO w obliczu wciąż rosnących cen $BTC .
Z tego powodu traktuj nasze wyliczenia raczej jako zabawę intelektualną, niż wiążącą prognozę rynkową.
🎯 Werdykt finalny: po ile będzie Bitcoin?
Powyższe zastrzeżenia są bardzo ważne. Mało kto je jednak zapewne przeczyta, szukając odpowiedzi na jedno proste pytanie - po ile będzie BTC???
Biorąc pod uwagę wszystkie wskaźniki, prawdopodobnie osiągniemy ATH na poziomie 140-160 tysięcy dolarów, zaś hossa potrwa do jesieni 2025. Po drodze zdarzy się zaś co najmniej jedna, znaczna korekta, która wielu przyprawi o zawał serca.
Jest to jednak czysta spekulacja. Jeśli do tej pory nie posiadasz Bitcoina, zdecydowanie odradzam kupowanie go teraz. Ryzyko jest po prostu zbyt duże. Lepiej poczekać do początków bessy i pomyśleć nad pozycją short, jeśli rozumiesz, z czym to się wiąże.

#CryptoPrediction #CryptoPredictions #BitcoinPrediction #BitcoinPredictions

Why the Rich Dad Poor Dad Author Calls BTC ‘Priceless’ at $107K and Still Predicts $1 Million”
📅 Latest Update: July 2025

🧠 Introduction: From Real Estate to Satoshi — Kiyosaki’s Bitcoin Belief Grows Stronger

Robert Kiyosaki, the best-selling author of Rich Dad Poor Dad and one of the most influential voices in personal finance, is once again making headlines in the crypto world — this time with an even bolder declaration:

> “At $107,000, Bitcoin is still priceless — I’m buying more. I believe one day it will be worth $1 million per coin.”

While mainstream analysts warn of bubbles and volatility, Kiyosaki is doubling down. With fiat currencies under increasing pressure from inflation, debt, and government policies, he sees Bitcoin as the ultimate store of value — even calling it the modern-day gold.

Let’s unpack why Kiyosaki is aggressively accumulating BTC, what lessons he’s applying from his "Rich Dad," and why he believes today's price is still a bargain.

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🪙 Kiyosaki Buys More BTC — Even at $107K

On July 4, 2025, Kiyosaki posted another bold statement on social media platform X:

> “Losers keep warning of a bitcoin crash. They want to frighten off the speculators. I hope bitcoin crashes. I will only buy more.”

It’s not just a tweet — it’s a signal of his entire philosophy: buy fear, sell euphoria. He doesn’t view price dips as danger zones. Instead, he sees them as buying opportunities for assets he calls “real money.”

Even though Bitcoin is now trading above $107,000, Kiyosaki is still adding to his position — a move many consider bold, even risky. But for him, it’s about long-term conviction, not short-term fluctuation.

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🔥 Why He Believes BTC Is Headed to $1 Million

Kiyosaki has publicly declared that he believes Bitcoin will hit $1 million per coin in the near future.

> “Even if I’m wrong, I’d rather be a sucker than a loser,” he said.
“If Bitcoin hits $1 million and I didn’t buy at $107K, I’d regret it forever.”

But what’s fueling this belief?

1. 📉 Collapse of Fiat Currencies

He has long referred to fiat money as "fake money," manipulated by central banks and devalued through inflation. According to him, the Federal Reserve, big banks, and governments are all running a Ponzi scheme, and Bitcoin offers decentralized freedom.

2. 💵 Endless Money Printing

The rising national debt, interest rates, and unchecked monetary expansion have made him lose faith in the dollar. He believes Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins makes it digital gold.

3. 🔐 Store of Value with Global Access

Bitcoin isn’t just a speculative asset. Kiyosaki views it as the future of global finance, especially as people worldwide look for financial sovereignty in the face of government overreach.

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🧠 Real Rich Dad Lessons Applied to Bitcoin

Kiyosaki built his philosophy on lessons from his “Rich Dad,” who emphasized:

Owning real assets like gold, real estate, and businesses

Avoiding the trap of saving in depreciating currency

Using debt wisely to buy appreciating assets

Staying ahead of financial manipulation by the elite

Now, he’s simply applying those principles to the 21st century. For him, Bitcoin is the modern version of gold — and he’s treating it the same way he treated real estate back in the '90s.

> “I followed my Rich Dad’s advice. I became an entrepreneur, I invested in real estate, and now I’m saving real gold, silver — and today, Bitcoin.”

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💡 “Savers Are Losers” — His Harsh Truth

Kiyosaki isn’t subtle when criticizing the traditional advice to “save money.”

> “Savers are losers,” he says.
“The banks are robbing you silently through inflation and taxes.”

That’s why he urges people to move their savings into real assets that are hard to inflate or manipulate — like Bitcoin, silver, and gold.

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💬 “Even One Satoshi Can Change Your Future”

In one of his most powerful statements, he said:

> “Even if you can only afford one Satoshi today… five years from now you will say, ‘I wish I had bought more.’”

That message is especially relevant to young and new investors. He’s not just talking to millionaires. He’s urging everyday people to get involved — even if it’s just a tiny amount.

> “One Satoshi today could be your million-dollar decision tomorrow.”

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🤯 Regrets and Realizations: “I Waited Too Long”

In a moment of humility, Kiyosaki admitted:

> “I waited too long. I bought my first bitcoin at $6,000. Back then it felt expensive… Today, I wish I had bought more.”

Even though BTC is now over $107K, he still sees value — and he doesn’t want to miss the next leap to $1 million.

> “Again, my mind says it’s expensive. But I’m still buying. Because when it’s $1 million, I’ll say again, ‘I wish I had bought more.’”

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📈 Silver Also in the Spotlight

While his focus has shifted to Bitcoin, Kiyosaki is still bullish on silver:

> “I predict silver will 2x to 5x this year.”

Why? He sees it as another underpriced, real asset — particularly useful in technology, manufacturing, and green energy.

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💬 Final Word: Buy Value, Ignore Fear

Robert Kiyosaki’s message is loud and clear:

Ignore mainstream fear and panic

Educate yourself financially

Buy assets, not liabilities

Use dips as opportunities

Think long-term, not short-term

Whether Bitcoin hits $1 million or not, one thing is certain: Kiyosaki’s unshakable belief in real assets and decentralized finance has become a blueprint for the next generation of wealth builders.

> “If I’m wrong, I’ll survive. If I’m right… I’ll thrive.”

#Kiyosaki i #BitcoinPredictions #CryptoMindset #noobtoprotrader #BTCto1Million $BTC

#BitcoinPredictions
Standard Chartered’s recent report forecasts Bitcoin reaching major milestones by the end of 2025, outperforming both Ethsi Chartered’s recent report forecasts Bitcoin reaching major milestones by the end of 2025, outperforming both Ethereum and Solana.
The research, published on May 27, provides a comprehensive five-year price forecast for Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL). The analysis focuses on expected price trajectories and relative valuations from 2025 to 2029.
The projection also comes at a time when Bitcoin has hit an all-time high above $111,000. However, following a pullback, the asset is now consolidating around the $109,000 price mark.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
Notably, Bitcoin leads Standard Chartered’s forecasts with significant price appreciation potential. The research projects BTC reaching $200,000 by the end of 2025, rising to $300,000 in 2026, $400,000 in 2027, and peaking at $500,000 by 2028. 

This $500,000 level is expected to hold steady through 2029, reflecting confidence in Bitcoin’s role as a dominant digital asset. 
From the current price, Bitcoin would need to surge approximately 82% to reach $200,000. Additionally, if Bitcoin reaches $200,000, its market cap would be around $3.82 trillion, assuming the circulating supply remains fairly stable.
This outlook follows previous remarks from Geoffrey Kendrick, Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets, who noted that recent SEC 13F filings support Bitcoin’s trajectory toward $500,000 by 2028.
However, Kendrick acknowledged that direct Bitcoin ETF holdings declined sharply in the first quarter of 2025. For example, the State of Wisconsin Investment Board exited its Bitcoin ETF position, selling roughly 3,400 BTC in the BlackRock iShares Bitcoin Trust.
Despite this ETF dip, Kendrick emphasized that institutional interest in Bitcoin remains strong. Recent filings from Q1 2025 indicate growing accumulation by institutional investors, countering any perception of weakening demand. 
Additionally, Kendrick revised his earlier Q2 2025 Bitcoin price forecast upward. He now expects BTC to reach $120,000 by mid-2025, driven by whale accumulation, a strategic shift from U.S. securities to Bitcoin, and rising U.S. treasury term premiums, before advancing toward $200,000 by the end of the year.
Ethereum and Solana Could Exhibit Steady but Slower Growth
Meanwhile, per the recent Standard Chartered prediction, Ethereum’s price could increase steadily but more moderately than Bitcoin. The projections set ETH at $4,000 by the end of 2025, rising to $5,000 in 2026, $6,000 in 2027, and reaching $7,500 by 2028. This $7,500 valuation is expected to hold through 2029.
In comparison, Solana could show solid yet slower gains. The price forecast begins at $275 in 2025, moves up to $310 in 2026, and reaches $350 in 2027. A sharper increase occurs in 2028, with Solana rising to $475, followed by a moderate climb to $500 in 2029. 
A Shared Target for Bitcoin Price
Notably, this isn’t the first time a $200,000 Bitcoin prediction has emerged. Last month, analyst Intuit Trading identified Bitcoin’s April 7 crash to $74,000 as the asset’s bottom and projected a bullish trajectory culminating in a new all-time high of $136,000 by July 2025. 
Intuit Trading believes Bitcoin is following a faster, more optimistic path, pointing toward a $200,000 price target by July 2025.
Meanwhile, asset managers Bitwise and Alliance Bernstein have set more conservative forecasts, targeting $200,000 for Bitcoin by 2026.
Elsewhere, Dan Gambardello, founder of Crypto Capital Venture, also supports a bullish view, stating that Bitcoin’s bottom is confirmed and conditions are aligning for a rapid rally toward $200,000. Gambardello expects the upcoming move to be swift and surprising, catching many investors off guard, much like previous cycles.
DisClamier: This content is informational and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author's personal opinions and do not reflect The Crypto Basic opinion. Readers are encouraged to do thorough research before making any investment decisions. The Crypto Basic is not responsible for any financial losses.

#BitcoinPredictions
There is a bearish hypothesis about the price of Bitcoin, based on the current environment of the options market.
However, this is a hypothesis based on an interpretation that is perhaps a little too simple of a market that is actually very complex, so it needs to be analyzed in depth to understand how credible it is.
At the same time, however, sentiment on the crypto market remains slightly negative, although probably irrelevantly so.

Bitcoin Options
In financial markets, there are put or call options on the assets being traded.
A put option is the right to sell an asset at a predetermined price before the option expires. A call option is the same thing, but to buy.
Some crypto options markets are public, so you can go and analyze how many put options and how many calls are out there.
One of the largest crypto options markets in the world is Deribit , which is often taken as a reference for analysis in this specific field.
Currently on Deribit the open interest on call options is much higher than on put options.
However, the situation changes if we only consider the trend of the put-call ratio of options expiring on Friday.
This involves $14 billion in options that are expiring, meaning they can no longer be exercised after Friday morning.
The problem is that the put-call ratio of Bitcoin options expiring on Friday has risen just ahead of expiration, indicating growing interest in put options.

Where does the bearish hypothesis on the price of Bitcoin come from?
Typically, an increase in the put-call ratio is interpreted as a possible bearish sign , but this is a superficial interpretation.
This put-call open interest ratio refers to the ratio of active put contracts to active call contracts at any given time.
Currently, open interest in call options is still significantly higher than open interest in put options, but specifically for Bitcoin options expiring on Friday, there has been a sharp increase in the put-call ratio in the final days before expiration. This clearly indicates an increase in appetite for put options, which are used specifically as downside protection, so much so that it is commonly interpreted as indicative of bearish market sentiment.
In reality, however, the situation is more complex.
In fact, this specific increase is partly due to the so-called “liquidity-backed put options”. In this case, it is not a question of insurance against bearish risks, but of a strategy for generating income and accumulating BTC.
This strategy involves selling put options, but simultaneously holding stablecoins to purchase BTC in case prices drop and the buyer decides to exercise the right to sell at the pre-determined higher price.
Such a strategy also allows you to collect a premium by selling the put option which represents a return with a potential accumulation of BTC, if the buyer of the put option exercises the option.
Well, Deribit’s Asia business development manager Lin Chen said that while the put/call ratio has risen to 0.72, up from just over 0.5 in 2024 , put options on the platform are often structured just like cash-backed puts.
Chen also specified that about 20% of the expiring calls are “in-the-money (in profit)”, which would mean that a large number of market participants are holding calls with strikes lower than the current BTC spot market rate (around $106,000).
The bearish assumption in this case would be around $102,000.
The volatility
In light of all this, the classic bearish interpretation could also prove to be excessively superficial, although in theory it could also be correct.
Chen himself also added that call option buyers have performed well this cycle, which indicates that there could also be some profit-taking.
In particular, holders of in-the-money (ITM) call options may choose to cash in profits, or cover their positions as expiration approaches.
All this could at least increase volatility, and this second hypothesis, which does not indicate the direction, appears decidedly more solid.

It should be noted, however, that in reality, most calls are often destined to expire without being exercised, and this is highlighted by the fact that the $300 call has the highest open interest because traders were probably hoping for a much greater increase in prices in the first half of the year.
Ultimately, therefore, the price of Bitcoin could still continue to oscillate within a range between $100,000 and $105,000, with expectations of fluctuating trading and a slight bullish trend as we get closer to expiration.
In fact, the latest flows seem to be generally neutral, with traders mainly selling calls at around $105,000 and puts at around $100,000.

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