xrp

$XRP достиг зоны экстремальной технической перепроданности, тестируя уровень, который ранее демонстрировал свою значимость. Показатели RSI на младших таймфреймах опустились до значений, указывающих на временное истощение продавцов. Это создает технические предпосылки для контртрендового отскока, хотя общая тенденция остается под давлением.
Техническая картина показывает, что цена сформировала четкий уровень поддержки на отметке $1,3572, от которого уже был совершён первый отскок. Индикатор RSI на 1-часовом таймфрейме опустился ниже 20, что исторически часто предшествовало резким, хотя и не всегда продолжительным, восстановлениям. Все значимые скользящие средние расположены выше текущей цены, создавая значительный ценовой вакуум для потенциальной технической коррекции. Логика входа строится на попытке рынка частично закрыть этот разрыв.
Вход на лонг: 1,3600 - 1,3650
Цели:
TP1: 1,3950
TP2: 1,4200
TP3: 1,4400
Стоп-лосс: 1,3550
Стоп размещается строго ниже уровня $1,3572. Пробой этого дневного минимума будет означать, что давление продавцов возобновилось с новой силой, и сценарий технического отскока теряет актуальность.
Экстремумы осцилляторов вблизи исторических уровней редко остаются без реакции рынка. Вопрос лишь в силе и продолжительности этой реакции.
Считаете ли вы показания RSI ниже 20 на часовом графике достаточным сигналом для контртрендовой сделки, или необходим дополнительный подтверждающий фактор, например, рост объёма?
#xrp #Write2Earn

XRP has lost approximately 7% of its value this week, continuing to trend under bearish pressure. Although the cryptocurrency has significantly declined over the past six weeks, analysts remain optimistic about a potential rebound. 
With a current value of $1.36, target-focused XRP users get $1,360 for 1,000 XRP tokens. Most of these users are curious about how much those tokens will be worth by the end of Q1 2026. Meanwhile, it is worth noting that AI models appear more optimistic than human analysts, with most predicting higher short-term targets.
Derivatives and Spot Flows Signal Caution

XRP derivatives data reflects a completed leverage cycle. Open interest expanded sharply in late Q4 as price surged. Subsequently, declining open interest followed rising volatility. Hence, forced liquidations and position closures reduced speculative exposure. Despite occasional price stability, leverage conviction continued to fade.
Recently, open interest stabilized at lower levels. This shift suggests leverage excess has cleared. Consequently, the market now favors consolidation rather than aggressive directional bets.

Spot flow data supports this cautious tone. Net outflows dominated recent months, indicating ongoing distribution pressure. Moreover, red flow sessions intensified during price declines. Brief inflow spikes appeared occasionally. However, they failed to alter the broader trend. Hence, spot demand remains limited, reinforcing the bearish structure.
Q1 2026 XRP Price Forecast Scenarios
Most cryptocurrency analysts, including AI algorithms, have identified bullish, base, and bearish scenarios for XRP in Q1 2026. The bullish outcome would see XRP return above $3.0, assuming spot XRP ETF inflows continue to increase and the U.S. lawmakers pass the CLARITY Act. 
CryptoRank AI predicts an optimistic $4.40 target for XRP by the end of March 2026, implying that 1,000 XRP tokens will be worth $4,400 by that time. In the meantime, most human-based crypto analysis platforms, such as CoinDCX and LiteFinance, remain within the $2.40 to $2.60 XRP price range for Q1 2026. The basis for their prediction is on moderate institutional interest and the steady growth of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin. For this category, holding 1,000 XRP tokens by the end of Q1 2026 will give between $2,400 and $2,600.
Meanwhile, less optimistic users remain cautious, noting that weakening ETF demand or persistent macroeconomic headwinds could increase pressure on XRP, causing it to trade within the $1.45-$1.52 price range, therefore equating 1,000 XRP to between $1,450 and $1,520.
Key Drivers for XRP Price in Q1 2026

Amid the varying predictions and the potential outcomes for XRP, it is worth noting that the critical drivers behind the cryptocurrency’s price development include ETF momentum, supply squeeze, banking option, and macroeconomic developments. 
XRP ETFs have absorbed an impressive $1.23 billion in total inflows since launching in late 2025. Analysts believe the cryptocurrency will rally higher if spot XRP ETF products sustain a steady monthly inflow of $300 million. Meanwhile, most users believe a continued tightening of supply, similar to the 2025 scenario, when exchange balances dropped by 57%, will trigger a spike in XRP’s price.
In the meantime, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse projects the XRP blockchain will capture roughly 14% of SWIFT’s transaction volume within five years. Garlinghouse’s comment has boosted bullish sentiment around XRP, representing a major demand driver for the digital asset.
$XRP #xrp #TrendingTopic