btc
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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Jorge_75314:
6
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If $BTC goes to 48k, here’s what ETH likely does (based on real math, not hopium)
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $BTC
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#btc #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened.
BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750
That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $BTC
it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done.
Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?”
It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k
That’s another 20% downside
ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup.
Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x):
20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop
ETH 2400 → 1800
ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic.
This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000
Now things change.
There’s less buffer.
Liquidations start earlier.
In this case:
ETH likely trades 1500–1400
Quick wicks lower are possible
Not because ETH is broken
But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:-
BTC losing 48k fast
Bad macro or liquidity shock
Only then do we talk about:
1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves
Maximum pain, minimum time
Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750.
Second legs are usually:
Slower
Less violent
More selective
That’s why survival matters more than prediction.
My honest takeaway
ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling
ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range
Spot holders with patience usually do
Markets don’t reward confidence.
They reward risk management.
If BTC actually goes to 48k,
where do you think ETH finds real buyers?
1400, 1200, or lower?
I’m reading all serious answers 👇
#btc #bnb #BinanceSquareTalks
ETHUSDT
دائم
2X
جارٍ فتح صفقة شراء
الأرباح والخسائر غير المحققة
-7,657.96USDT
zobrist:
sorry bro
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行情观点
短线以7万为分水岭
经过反弹后目前行情运行于69000一线。7万将会是短线的分水岭
若始终无法站上7万，行情或将进一步下跌至65-64一线
若站稳7万，行情或将进一步上探至79000一线
此仅为讨论短线走势，与中线看反弹至84以上的目标并不冲突
再次确认一下时间框架：
短线=几小时-几天
中线=几天-几周，不超过2个月内
长线=2个月以上
我认为中线内跌破至6万及以下的可能性非常低。目前已经处在深跌后反弹并整理的阶段
因为进一步下跌（即跌破6万以下）意味着下探57000以下，但6万以下区间有大量的买单，意味着下探到这一区域的阻力非常巨大。在没有进一步宏观利空到来之前，我认为跌破6万的概率很低#btc
短线以7万为分水岭
经过反弹后目前行情运行于69000一线。7万将会是短线的分水岭
若始终无法站上7万，行情或将进一步下跌至65-64一线
若站稳7万，行情或将进一步上探至79000一线
此仅为讨论短线走势，与中线看反弹至84以上的目标并不冲突
再次确认一下时间框架：
短线=几小时-几天
中线=几天-几周，不超过2个月内
长线=2个月以上
我认为中线内跌破至6万及以下的可能性非常低。目前已经处在深跌后反弹并整理的阶段
因为进一步下跌（即跌破6万以下）意味着下探57000以下，但6万以下区间有大量的买单，意味着下探到这一区域的阻力非常巨大。在没有进一步宏观利空到来之前，我认为跌破6万的概率很低#btc
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Очень важно — сохранять внутреннее спокойствие. Сейчас по биткоину у меня просадка около -200%, но это не повод для паники. Не смотрите на мониторы, не следите за каждым движением цены, не пытайтесь предсказывать или гадать. Занимайтесь своими делами и не возвращайтесь к графику без необходимости. Рынок проверяет выдержку и дисциплину. Работаем четко по плану: есть усреднение в районе 66 000 и заранее определён #profit .
$BTC #btc
$BTC #btc
دعم الاغلاق الحكومي يضرب الكريبتوا #BNB #btc
- تعرّض سوق العملات الرقمية لهزة قوية خلال تعاملات يوم الثلاثاء، بعدما تراجعت قيمته السوقية الإجمالية بنحو 2% لتصل إلى حوالي 2.44 تريليون دولار، في ظل تصاعد المخاوف من إغلاق حكومي وشيك في الولايات المتحدة، ما أشعل موجة قلق واسعة بين المستثمرين.
وشهدت بيتكوين تقلبات حادة بين 68,400 و71,000 دولار، قبل أن تستقر قرب مستوى 69,400 دولار وقت النشر، مسجلة خسارة يومية بلغت 2.4%. كما انخفضت إيثيريوم بنسبة 1.2% لتتداول أعلى بقليل من حاجز 2,000 دولار، مع اتساع خسائرها الأسبوعية إلى 12%
$BTC $ETH $BNB #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound
- تعرّض سوق العملات الرقمية لهزة قوية خلال تعاملات يوم الثلاثاء، بعدما تراجعت قيمته السوقية الإجمالية بنحو 2% لتصل إلى حوالي 2.44 تريليون دولار، في ظل تصاعد المخاوف من إغلاق حكومي وشيك في الولايات المتحدة، ما أشعل موجة قلق واسعة بين المستثمرين.
وشهدت بيتكوين تقلبات حادة بين 68,400 و71,000 دولار، قبل أن تستقر قرب مستوى 69,400 دولار وقت النشر، مسجلة خسارة يومية بلغت 2.4%. كما انخفضت إيثيريوم بنسبة 1.2% لتتداول أعلى بقليل من حاجز 2,000 دولار، مع اتساع خسائرها الأسبوعية إلى 12%
$BTC $ETH $BNB #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound
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Разбор текущей структуры по BTC. Цена в районе 67 500, позиция открыта от 66 000. Текущая просадка — часть рабочей рыночной динамики, без эмоциональной составляющей. В видео подробно объясняю ключевой профессиональный принцип — гибкость управления позицией и корректное следование за ценой через системное усреднение в рамках риск-менеджмента.
Основной акцент — не на прогнозе, а на механике сопровождения позиции, контроле нагрузки на депозит и адаптации к изменяющейся волатильности.
Локально рассматриваю вероятность восходящего движения в рамках текущей структуры.
$BTC #btc
Основной акцент — не на прогнозе, а на механике сопровождения позиции, контроле нагрузки на депозит и адаптации к изменяющейся волатильности.
Локально рассматриваю вероятность восходящего движения в рамках текущей структуры.
$BTC #btc
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Ловушка для оптимистов: почему график битка внезапно окрасился в красный?
💡$BTC сейчас торгуется в районе $66 600 – $69 400. Наблюдается краткосрочное снижение (около -2% за сутки) после периода волатильности в начале месяца.Аналитики ожидают консолидацию в коридоре $65 000 – $75 000. 🎯Для возобновления роста цене необходимо закрепиться выше уровня сопротивления $75 500.
🎖️Оптимистичный сценарий: Ряд институциональных экспертов (Bernstein, Standard Chartered) сохраняют цели на уровне $150 000+ к концу года, связывая это с притоком средств в ETF и макроэкономическими циклами.
🛟Индикаторы: Индекс относительной силы (RSI) сейчас находится в зоне перепроданности (около 23), что технически может сигнализировать о близком 🍾отскоке вверх.
#btc $BTC #cryptanov
🎖️Оптимистичный сценарий: Ряд институциональных экспертов (Bernstein, Standard Chartered) сохраняют цели на уровне $150 000+ к концу года, связывая это с притоком средств в ETF и макроэкономическими циклами.
🛟Индикаторы: Индекс относительной силы (RSI) сейчас находится в зоне перепроданности (около 23), что технически может сигнализировать о близком 🍾отскоке вверх.
#btc $BTC #cryptanov
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Биткоин в данный момент находиться в треугольнике, выход с треугольника потребует время.
Всем хорошего дня и хорошего настроения.
я в данный момент нахожусь без позиций. Если буду заходить в позицию - обязательно буду публиковать в #BinanceSquare
Буду всех сегодня ждать на прямом эфире !
$BTC #btc
Всем хорошего дня и хорошего настроения.
я в данный момент нахожусь без позиций. Если буду заходить в позицию - обязательно буду публиковать в #BinanceSquare
Буду всех сегодня ждать на прямом эфире !
$BTC #btc
بث مُباشر: 13:45 Feb 12
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🧑💻 The Best Advertisement for $BTC
In 2014, Dell received 85 BTC as payment for a batch of servers.
At the time, those coins were worth around $50,000.
Today, they would be valued at approximately $5.8 million.
#TrendingTopic #btc
In 2014, Dell received 85 BTC as payment for a batch of servers.
At the time, those coins were worth around $50,000.
Today, they would be valued at approximately $5.8 million.
#TrendingTopic #btc
ش
BTCUSDT
دائم
مغلق
الأرباح والخسائر
+175.37%
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“💣 Logan Paul, el millón que nunca existio”
Logan Paul volvió a hacerlo. Anunció a bombo y platillo una apuesta de 1 millón de dolarés en $BTC y $ETH en el Super Bowl a través de Polymarket, desatando titulares, debates y miles de interacciones.
¿El problema? El millón nunca estuvo realmente en juego.
Lo que parecía una jugada de alto riesgo terminó siendo un truco promocional perfectamente calculado. Sin fondos reales bloqueados, sin riesgo financiero auténtico… solo ruido, atención y visibilidad. Mucha visibilidad.
🎭 El espectáculo por encima de la apuesta
La maniobra dejó claro algo: en la economía de los influencers, la percepción vale más que el dinero. No importa si el riesgo es real, lo que importa es que parezca real. Y Logan Paul sabe jugar ese juego mejor que nadie.
📈 Marketing 1 – Transparencia 0
Mientras miles creían estar presenciando una apuesta histórica, la realidad era otra: una estrategia diseñada para impulsar una plataforma, generar conversación y dominar el ciclo de noticias. Misión cumplida.
🤔 La pregunta incómoda
Si una apuesta sin dinero puede generar más impacto que una real…
¿cuántas otras “hazañas millonarias” que vemos en internet son solo humo bien vendido?
🔥 En la era del click, no gana quien arriesga más, sino quien sabe captar mejor tu atención.
#btc #WhaleDeRiskETH #USIranStandoff
Logan Paul volvió a hacerlo. Anunció a bombo y platillo una apuesta de 1 millón de dolarés en $BTC y $ETH en el Super Bowl a través de Polymarket, desatando titulares, debates y miles de interacciones.
¿El problema? El millón nunca estuvo realmente en juego.
Lo que parecía una jugada de alto riesgo terminó siendo un truco promocional perfectamente calculado. Sin fondos reales bloqueados, sin riesgo financiero auténtico… solo ruido, atención y visibilidad. Mucha visibilidad.
🎭 El espectáculo por encima de la apuesta
La maniobra dejó claro algo: en la economía de los influencers, la percepción vale más que el dinero. No importa si el riesgo es real, lo que importa es que parezca real. Y Logan Paul sabe jugar ese juego mejor que nadie.
📈 Marketing 1 – Transparencia 0
Mientras miles creían estar presenciando una apuesta histórica, la realidad era otra: una estrategia diseñada para impulsar una plataforma, generar conversación y dominar el ciclo de noticias. Misión cumplida.
🤔 La pregunta incómoda
Si una apuesta sin dinero puede generar más impacto que una real…
¿cuántas otras “hazañas millonarias” que vemos en internet son solo humo bien vendido?
🔥 En la era del click, no gana quien arriesga más, sino quien sabe captar mejor tu atención.
#btc #WhaleDeRiskETH #USIranStandoff
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Dia de Payroll - ANÁLISE ‼️🔥
Futuros dos EUA operam em alta (S&P 500 +0,2%).Dólar recua pelo quarto dia consecutivo, no menor nível do mês.Treasuries 10 anos próximos das mínimas de 1 mês, com o mercado elevando apostas em corte de juros já em abril.Ouro segue acima de US$ 5.000 a onça.Mercado aguarda o payroll de janeiro, com expectativa de números mais fracos e possível revisão para baixo nas estimativas até março de 2025.Economia ainda em dinâmica “formato K”, com atenção ao consumidor americano.Europa registra queda em gestoras de patrimônio após temores sobre impacto de nova ferramenta de IA no setor.BTC (Bitcoin) opera sobre nossa linha de suporte na região dos 66k na análise macro. [Info: Grupo VIP]. Próximo suporte 58k.
Breve análise econômica:
A mensagem de Powell e do Fed é clara: não há um caminho definido para corte de juros no curto prazo, e a autoridade está bem posicionada para aguardar e observar a evolução dos dados antes de qualquer decisão. O payroll ganha ainda mais relevância nesse contexto. Caso os números reforcem uma desaceleração consistente, a narrativa pode pressionar o dólar e sustentar ativos de risco como ações e cripto. Por outro lado, dados resilientes mantêm o cenário de juros elevados por mais tempo, o que pode limitar movimentos mais agressivos no curto prazo.
#payroll #btc #BinanceSquareBTC
$BTC
$ETH
Breve análise econômica:
A mensagem de Powell e do Fed é clara: não há um caminho definido para corte de juros no curto prazo, e a autoridade está bem posicionada para aguardar e observar a evolução dos dados antes de qualquer decisão. O payroll ganha ainda mais relevância nesse contexto. Caso os números reforcem uma desaceleração consistente, a narrativa pode pressionar o dólar e sustentar ativos de risco como ações e cripto. Por outro lado, dados resilientes mantêm o cenário de juros elevados por mais tempo, o que pode limitar movimentos mais agressivos no curto prazo.
#payroll #btc #BinanceSquareBTC
$BTC
$ETH
JONAS A_C:
O mercado não está pra brincadeira!!!
O momento é de atenção!!!
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tradingbeast_qtx Bitcoin Crash Explained | Futures, ETFs & the Paper Bitcoin Problem
Bitcoin crashed from $80,000 to $60,000 in one week.
And no — this wasn't about news or headlines.
Bitcoin no longer trades like a simple coin market.
It trades like Wall Street.
The 21 million supply didn't change.
What changed is paper Bitcoin.
Through futures, options, ETFs and derivatives, traders can bet on Bitcoin without owning real BTC.
One real Bitcoin can now support multiple leveraged positions.
That's why price moves today are driven by:
#bitcoin #btc #eth $BTC $ETH
Bitcoin crashed from $80,000 to $60,000 in one week.
And no — this wasn't about news or headlines.
Bitcoin no longer trades like a simple coin market.
It trades like Wall Street.
The 21 million supply didn't change.
What changed is paper Bitcoin.
Through futures, options, ETFs and derivatives, traders can bet on Bitcoin without owning real BTC.
One real Bitcoin can now support multiple leveraged positions.
That's why price moves today are driven by:
#bitcoin #btc #eth $BTC $ETH
$BTC يقترب من المنطقة التي كانت تاريخيًا أفضل “منطقة شراء” في كل دورة.
لقد رأينا هذا النمط يتكرر منذ عام 2014:
• منطقة شراء 2018 → ارتفع $BTC بنسبة 2,050٪
• منطقة شراء 2022 → ارتفع $BTC بنسبة 750٪
• منطقة شراء 2026 → قد تكون التالية...
هذه الفرصة النادرة تظهر مرة واحدة كل 4 سنوات — وعادةً لا تستمر إلا لعدة أسابيع.
#BTC #btc #btc
لقد رأينا هذا النمط يتكرر منذ عام 2014:
• منطقة شراء 2018 → ارتفع $BTC بنسبة 2,050٪
• منطقة شراء 2022 → ارتفع $BTC بنسبة 750٪
• منطقة شراء 2026 → قد تكون التالية...
هذه الفرصة النادرة تظهر مرة واحدة كل 4 سنوات — وعادةً لا تستمر إلا لعدة أسابيع.
#BTC #btc #btc
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$BTC Bitcoin currently trading near 66,200 after rejection from the mid-range resistance. Market structure shows lower highs + weak bounce, meaning sellers still control short-term trend.
🔎 Technical View
• Price below short MA → bearish pressure
• RSI near oversold but no strong reversal yet
• Weak consolidation after dump = continuation risk
Support Zones
• 65,700
• 63,300
• 60,000 (major liquidity zone)
Resistance Zones
• 67,500
• 69,600
• 71,800
📈 Trade Plan
Short Setup (Preferred)
Entry: 67k – 68k
TP: 65.7k → 63.3k → 60k
SL: 70k
Long Setup (Only on confirmation)
Entry: After strong reclaim above 69.6k
TP: 71.8k → 74k
SL: 67.8k
🌐 Fundamental View
• $BTC still follows macro liquidity & ETF flows
• Market waiting for dominance expansion
• Altcoins weak → $BTC range or slow bleed likely before next expansion
⚠️ Market is volatile — always use proper risk management & avoid over-leverage (DYOR)
#btc #btcusdt #BTCanalysis
🔎 Technical View
• Price below short MA → bearish pressure
• RSI near oversold but no strong reversal yet
• Weak consolidation after dump = continuation risk
Support Zones
• 65,700
• 63,300
• 60,000 (major liquidity zone)
Resistance Zones
• 67,500
• 69,600
• 71,800
📈 Trade Plan
Short Setup (Preferred)
Entry: 67k – 68k
TP: 65.7k → 63.3k → 60k
SL: 70k
Long Setup (Only on confirmation)
Entry: After strong reclaim above 69.6k
TP: 71.8k → 74k
SL: 67.8k
🌐 Fundamental View
• $BTC still follows macro liquidity & ETF flows
• Market waiting for dominance expansion
• Altcoins weak → $BTC range or slow bleed likely before next expansion
⚠️ Market is volatile — always use proper risk management & avoid over-leverage (DYOR)
#btc #btcusdt #BTCanalysis
عرض الترجمة
When the market is driven by fear, volatility creates asymmetric opportunities.
Historically, periods of panic selling have marked accumulation zones for smart money, while retail participants exit positions at a loss.
Understanding market cycles, liquidity shifts, and sentiment extremes is what separates reactive traders from strategic investors.
Follow my page for more in-depth market analysis 💎📊
#btc #bitcoin #Binance #video #analysis $BTC
Historically, periods of panic selling have marked accumulation zones for smart money, while retail participants exit positions at a loss.
Understanding market cycles, liquidity shifts, and sentiment extremes is what separates reactive traders from strategic investors.
Follow my page for more in-depth market analysis 💎📊
#btc #bitcoin #Binance #video #analysis $BTC
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