Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) show a **high positive correlation** in February 2026, meaning they tend to move in the same direction (often with SOL showing higher volatility/amplification).
# Current Correlation Snapshot (mid-Feb 2026)
- **30-day rolling correlation coefficient**: Around **0.88** (very strong; up from ~0.65 in late 2025, per DropsTab and other reports).
- **Broader 12-month range**: Typically **0.7–0.9** for ETH/SOL, similar to altcoin vs. BTC behavior in risk-off phases.
- **SOL/ETH ratio**: Currently ~**0.041–0.043** ETH per SOL (SOL ≈ 1/23–1/24 ETH; SOL ≈ $83–$86 when ETH ~$1,930–$1,960 and BTC ~$67K).
- Ratio near cycle lows — SOL has slightly underperformed ETH in recent drawdowns.
Why High Correlation Right Now?
- **Risk sentiment dominance**: Both are high-beta assets tied to crypto market mood. In extreme fear (index 9–11), macro/geopolitical pressures cause synchronized moves.
- **Recent example**: Early 2026 pullback saw BTC down ~25%, ETH down ~35%, SOL down ~33–40% — convex downside (SOL amplifies BTC/ETH moves).
- **Institutional flows**: Spot ETH ETFs and SOL ecosystem activity often follow BTC trends; no major decoupling yet.
- **Market structure**: Crypto-wide risk-off regime elevates correlations (ETH-SOL often >0.8 in stress periods).
Current Price Context
- BTC ~$67,200–$67,800 (testing $67K support).
- ETH ~$1,930–$1,960 (below $2K psych level).
- SOL ~$83–$86 (down ~2–3% recently, near BTC-denominated support ~0.00123 BTC).
Outlook
- **Short-term**: High correlation likely persists (fear/consolidation phase) — BTC's $67K hold will dictate ETH/SOL path.
- **Medium-term**: Decoupling possible in 2026 if Solana catalysts (Firedancer upgrade, DeFi/RWA growth) drive outperformance, potentially lifting SOL/ETH ratio toward 0.05+.
- **Risk**: If BTC breaks lower, SOL could fall harder due to higher beta.
In short: SOL is moving "like ETH on steroids" right now — same direction, bigger swings. Watch BTC for the lead
#Ethereum #Solana #CryptoCorrelation #ETH $BTC $ETH $SOL 🚀🚀🚀