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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Jorge_75314:
6
🔥 $BTC is priming for a breakout while the weak hands fold. Don't get left behind. The supply shock is loading and the next leg up looks imminent.
🔥LONG $BTC /USDT
Entry: $68,600 - $69,200
Stoploss: $67,500
Targets:
TP1: $70,200
TP2: $71,200
TP3: $72,500
✅TA: BTC is holding firmly above the $68.4k support zone. With profitable supply at multi-year lows, seller exhaustion is peaking. H4 structure has shifted from bearish to a solid accumulation base. A confirmed break above $71.7k resistance will trigger the squeeze.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#btc
🔥LONG $BTC /USDT
Entry: $68,600 - $69,200
Stoploss: $67,500
Targets:
TP1: $70,200
TP2: $71,200
TP3: $72,500
✅TA: BTC is holding firmly above the $68.4k support zone. With profitable supply at multi-year lows, seller exhaustion is peaking. H4 structure has shifted from bearish to a solid accumulation base. A confirmed break above $71.7k resistance will trigger the squeeze.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#btc
BTCUSDT
دائم
50X
جارٍ فتح صفقة شراء
الأرباح والخسائر غير المحققة
+37.00%
Gracy44:
Too early
$BTC has been moving inside a clear range support around $67K and resistance near $75K. That’s the structure we’ve been working with.
Price dipped below $67K took liquidity and quickly reclaimed it. When you see that kind of move and reclaim, it usually shows strength if it can hold.
As long as buyers keep defending this area, a push back toward $75K into next week is very much in play.
At this point, it’s about staying patient and letting the range play out.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #btc
Price dipped below $67K took liquidity and quickly reclaimed it. When you see that kind of move and reclaim, it usually shows strength if it can hold.
As long as buyers keep defending this area, a push back toward $75K into next week is very much in play.
At this point, it’s about staying patient and letting the range play out.
Trade $BTC here 👇
#PEPEBrokeThroughDowntrendLine #btc
🔥 BTCUSDT Technical Analysis – 4H Timeframe Outlook
$BTC Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) is currently trading around $68,500, moving inside a tight consolidation range after rejecting the $69,400 resistance zone. The recent structure shows a strong recovery from the $59,800 major demand level, where aggressive buying stepped in and formed a higher-low pattern on the 4H chart. This indicates that buyers are still defending the broader structure despite short-term pullbacks. However, momentum has slowed, and price is compressing between $67,800 support and $69,400 resistance, signaling that a breakout is approaching.
If $BTC manages a strong 4H close above $69,500, it could trigger bullish continuation toward $70,900 (recent high), followed by $72,500–$74,800 as the next supply zones. A volume spike during breakout would confirm strength and attract momentum traders. On the downside, losing $67,800 may open the door to $65,000, and a deeper correction could retest $63,900. The major invalidation level for bulls remains near $59,800.
Currently, $BTC is in a decision zone. Smart traders should wait for confirmation — breakout or breakdown — and manage risk accordingly. The next move could be explosive. 🚀
📌 Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
Disclaimer: I am not your financial advisor.
#cryptotradinganalysisboss
#BinanceSquare #TechnicalAnalysis #altcoins #btc
If $BTC manages a strong 4H close above $69,500, it could trigger bullish continuation toward $70,900 (recent high), followed by $72,500–$74,800 as the next supply zones. A volume spike during breakout would confirm strength and attract momentum traders. On the downside, losing $67,800 may open the door to $65,000, and a deeper correction could retest $63,900. The major invalidation level for bulls remains near $59,800.
Currently, $BTC is in a decision zone. Smart traders should wait for confirmation — breakout or breakdown — and manage risk accordingly. The next move could be explosive. 🚀
📌 Not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
Disclaimer: I am not your financial advisor.
#cryptotradinganalysisboss
#BinanceSquare #TechnicalAnalysis #altcoins #btc
⚠️📉 $BTC – Sellers in Control
📉 Rejection setup with bearish momentum building.
💹 Short Position
🟢 Entry: 69,800 – 70,300
🎯 Targets: 68,200 – 66,900 – 64,800
❌ SL: 71,500
⚡ Trade while below 71,500 resistance.
💎 Trade here 👉🏻 $BTC
#btc
#MarketRebound
#CPIWatch
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
📉 Rejection setup with bearish momentum building.
💹 Short Position
🟢 Entry: 69,800 – 70,300
🎯 Targets: 68,200 – 66,900 – 64,800
❌ SL: 71,500
⚡ Trade while below 71,500 resistance.
💎 Trade here 👉🏻 $BTC
#btc
#MarketRebound
#CPIWatch
#WriteToEarnUpgrade
#btc is currently trading near about $68,700–$69,000, having repeatedly failed to close above the psychological $70,000 level, which signals short-term resistance and waning upward momentum. ETF demand, which previously helped sustain rallies, has recently declined, tempering bullish sentiment and tightening trading ranges. Amid this consolidation, broader weakness in majors has seen BTC dip alongside other crypto currencies, with some analysts warning that failure to hold key support levels could expose deeper corrections toward $65,000 or even lower near $60,000 if market stress intensifies. Standard Chartered recently cut its long-term forecast to around $150,000 for 2026, while broader expert forecasts range widely — from relatively modest targets near current levels to potential year-end prices above $110,000–$175,000 if institutional flows and macro liquidity improve. More bearish research even contemplates extended downside to $50,000 or lower should risk-off conditions develop. On-chain data and sentiment indices show extreme fear and oversold readings, conditions that historically sometimes precede multi-month rebounds. This mix of technical pressure, macro risk factors, and long-range optimism means Bitcoin is in a critical consolidation phase — near a support band with potential for both downside retests and renewed rallies if market catalysts (like macro data or renewed inflows) shift the balance of supply and demand. �
#btc Let's talk about the price of BTC which dropped. First of all, there had to be a correction due to the fact that it started from 40,000 and went to 120,000 in a short space of time. Therefore, many who entered the 40,000 and 60,000 range, when the price reached 120,000, had already obtained an excellent profit by selling even just a part of the BTC purchased. Consequently, the price started to drop. Add to this the correction of the annual and monthly candlestick. Then America, which holds a large amount of BTC, sells some to put the money back into their market. Thus, the decline began. After that, many people sold so as not to find themselves empty-handed, others for fear of losing their money. Then those who trade and see the market has changed direction are added and start selling. Now, let's see the largest BTC holders: Satoshi Nakamoto: ~1.1 million BTC (distributed across thousands of wallets).
MicroStrategy: A publicly traded company led by Michael Saylor, it holds over 226,500 BTC, pursuing aggressive accumulation strategies.
Institutional Entities/Exchanges: Binance (>550,000 BTC), BlackRock (>300,000 BTC), and Grayscale (>260,000 BTC) are among the leading custodians.
Governments: The US government holds over 213,000 BTC, the result of seizures (e.g., Silk Road), followed by other states such as China.
Notable Individual Investors: Tim Draper (~30,000 BTC) and the Winklevoss twins (~70,000 BTC).
MicroStrategy: A publicly traded company led by Michael Saylor, it holds over 226,500 BTC, pursuing aggressive accumulation strategies.
Institutional Entities/Exchanges: Binance (>550,000 BTC), BlackRock (>300,000 BTC), and Grayscale (>260,000 BTC) are among the leading custodians.
Governments: The US government holds over 213,000 BTC, the result of seizures (e.g., Silk Road), followed by other states such as China.
Notable Individual Investors: Tim Draper (~30,000 BTC) and the Winklevoss twins (~70,000 BTC).
💰📊URPD shows price found support in a dense supply band from H1 2024 between $60K-$72K suggesting prior buyers are defending positions.
$BTC
However, overhead supply remains heavy with significant clusters at $82K-$97K and $100K-$117K representing holders with unrealized losses 📉. These zones may act as sell-side overhang if prolonged losses or volatility triggers capitulation ⚠️🔴.
#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn #signaladvisor
$BTC
However, overhead supply remains heavy with significant clusters at $82K-$97K and $100K-$117K representing holders with unrealized losses 📉. These zones may act as sell-side overhang if prolonged losses or volatility triggers capitulation ⚠️🔴.
#btc #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #Write2Earn #signaladvisor
التداولات الأخيرة
تداولات 2
BTCUSDT
“Crypto market turns red 📉 Bitcoin $BTC falls to $68K triggering heavy liquidations. Traders now watching key support level.”
$BNB
#BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #btc #CryptoNewss #CryptoUpdate
$BNB
#BTCFellBelow$69,000Again #btc #CryptoNewss #CryptoUpdate
$BTC Market Snapshot (Feb 16, 2026):
• Bitcoin is trading near ~$68–70K, struggling to break resistance after recent sell-offs. Short-term ETF inflows have cooled, weighing on sentiment. 
Short-Term Technicals:
• Price has consolidated in the $66K–$75K range. Technical indicators show a neutral to slightly bearish bias, with major resistance around $75K–$80K that must be reclaimed to resume upside momentum. 
• A Bollinger Bands squeeze suggests volatility is compressed — often a prelude to a significant move, but direction is not yet confirmed. 
Macro & Flow Factors:
• Recent declines have been exacerbated by spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and liquidation events, dampening short-term bullishness. 
• Some analysts see the current levels as a potential accumulation zone — dips below $70K are viewed by a few traders as buying opportunities if broader market liquidity improves. 
Medium-Term Outlook:
• Bullish forecasts (from institutional analysts) still project growth through 2026 with 2026 targets clustering around $110K–$150K, supported by post-halving supply constraints and possible fresh inflows. 
• Bearish scenarios also exist: historical cycles and some technical models leave room for deeper corrections or extended consolidation, possibly testing lower supports near prior cycle lows. 
Key Levels to Watch:
• Support: ~$65K–$67K
• Upside Breakout Threshold: ~$75K+
• Bullish Target Zone (if breakout holds): ~$100K+
• Bearish Caveat: A break below key support could drag price back toward ~$60K or lower.
Summary: Bitcoin’s near-term trend is mixed, with volatility compressed and price range-bound. Breakout above $75K would lean bullish; failure could extend consolidation or deeper retracement. Longer-term forecasts still lean bullish but tempered by market structure and macro conditions.
#btc #bitcoin #btc70k #Bitcoin❗
• Bitcoin is trading near ~$68–70K, struggling to break resistance after recent sell-offs. Short-term ETF inflows have cooled, weighing on sentiment. 
Short-Term Technicals:
• Price has consolidated in the $66K–$75K range. Technical indicators show a neutral to slightly bearish bias, with major resistance around $75K–$80K that must be reclaimed to resume upside momentum. 
• A Bollinger Bands squeeze suggests volatility is compressed — often a prelude to a significant move, but direction is not yet confirmed. 
Macro & Flow Factors:
• Recent declines have been exacerbated by spot Bitcoin ETF outflows and liquidation events, dampening short-term bullishness. 
• Some analysts see the current levels as a potential accumulation zone — dips below $70K are viewed by a few traders as buying opportunities if broader market liquidity improves. 
Medium-Term Outlook:
• Bullish forecasts (from institutional analysts) still project growth through 2026 with 2026 targets clustering around $110K–$150K, supported by post-halving supply constraints and possible fresh inflows. 
• Bearish scenarios also exist: historical cycles and some technical models leave room for deeper corrections or extended consolidation, possibly testing lower supports near prior cycle lows. 
Key Levels to Watch:
• Support: ~$65K–$67K
• Upside Breakout Threshold: ~$75K+
• Bullish Target Zone (if breakout holds): ~$100K+
• Bearish Caveat: A break below key support could drag price back toward ~$60K or lower.
Summary: Bitcoin’s near-term trend is mixed, with volatility compressed and price range-bound. Breakout above $75K would lean bullish; failure could extend consolidation or deeper retracement. Longer-term forecasts still lean bullish but tempered by market structure and macro conditions.
#btc #bitcoin #btc70k #Bitcoin❗
🚨 BREAKING: STRATEGY UNVEILS DEBT RESILIENCE PLAN
Strategy says it can survive a Bitcoin crash to $8,000 and still maintain full asset coverage for its debt. The firm even released a visual explainer to back the claim.
Michael Saylor added:
> “Our plan is to equitize our convertible debt over the next 3–6 years.”
$BTC
📌 Key takeaway: Strategy is signaling strong balance sheet confidence, even under extreme BTC downside scenarios.
What do you think — bullish or risky? 👀📉📈
#btc #Cryptonewsdaily
Strategy says it can survive a Bitcoin crash to $8,000 and still maintain full asset coverage for its debt. The firm even released a visual explainer to back the claim.
Michael Saylor added:
> “Our plan is to equitize our convertible debt over the next 3–6 years.”
$BTC
📌 Key takeaway: Strategy is signaling strong balance sheet confidence, even under extreme BTC downside scenarios.
What do you think — bullish or risky? 👀📉📈
#btc #Cryptonewsdaily
Bitcoin Bounces Back Above $70K: Is the February Correction Over or Just a Healthy Reset?
#btc 🚀📉#vanar $VANRY
The crypto market just went through one of its sharpest reality checks in recent memory. After Bitcoin smashed past $125K-$126K in late 2025 (fueled by institutional inflows, ETF momentum, and macro tailwinds), February 2026 hit like a cold shower. BTC plunged nearly 50% from its peak, dipping into the mid-$60K zone at one point, dragging alts even harder—Ethereum down ~60%, Solana ~70% from highs. Leverage got flushed, sentiment turned sour, and "crypto winter" whispers returned.
But hold on—things are shifting again. As of mid-February, Bitcoin has clawed back above $70,000 following cooler-than-expected CPI data (around 2.4%), reigniting hopes for softer Fed policy and rate-cut repricing. Daily transactions on Ethereum hit new highs post-Fusaka upgrade, showing real network activity isn't dead. Stablecoin volumes remain robust, and institutional deleveraging looks orderly rather than full capitulation (per VanEck and other analysts).
What triggered the drop? Mostly classic post-euphoria mechanics: over-leveraged positions from late-2025 FOMO, profit-taking after massive gains, and macro jitters despite the pro-crypto U.S. backdrop. No black-swan event like FTX—just the market doing what it does best: shaking out weak hands.
Looking ahead, 2026 themes from Binance Research and Grayscale still hold promise:
Bitcoin solidifying as a treasury/reserve asset (talk of U.S. strategic reserves lingers)
Stablecoins powering real-yield apps and daily settlements
RWAs (real-world assets) going mainstream on chains like BNB Chain
AI agents transacting autonomously on-chain
Layer-1 evolution: Ethereum L2 gravity, Solana speed/ETF potential
This correction might be the healthy reset crypto needed after 2025's industrialization phase. Lower prices = better entry points for long-term holders, reduced leverage = healthier ecosystem.
What do you think, Square community?
Is BTC heading back to $100K+ by Q2, or do we test $50K first?
Are you DCA-ing alts right now, or waiting for more clarity?
Which 2026 theme excites you most: RWAs, AI agents, or stablecoin boom?
Drop your takes below—let's discuss! Use $BTC $ETH if sharing charts. Stay disciplined, trade smart, and remember: in crypto, the best opportunities often hide in the fear. 💎🙌
The crypto market just went through one of its sharpest reality checks in recent memory. After Bitcoin smashed past $125K-$126K in late 2025 (fueled by institutional inflows, ETF momentum, and macro tailwinds), February 2026 hit like a cold shower. BTC plunged nearly 50% from its peak, dipping into the mid-$60K zone at one point, dragging alts even harder—Ethereum down ~60%, Solana ~70% from highs. Leverage got flushed, sentiment turned sour, and "crypto winter" whispers returned.
But hold on—things are shifting again. As of mid-February, Bitcoin has clawed back above $70,000 following cooler-than-expected CPI data (around 2.4%), reigniting hopes for softer Fed policy and rate-cut repricing. Daily transactions on Ethereum hit new highs post-Fusaka upgrade, showing real network activity isn't dead. Stablecoin volumes remain robust, and institutional deleveraging looks orderly rather than full capitulation (per VanEck and other analysts).
What triggered the drop? Mostly classic post-euphoria mechanics: over-leveraged positions from late-2025 FOMO, profit-taking after massive gains, and macro jitters despite the pro-crypto U.S. backdrop. No black-swan event like FTX—just the market doing what it does best: shaking out weak hands.
Looking ahead, 2026 themes from Binance Research and Grayscale still hold promise:
Bitcoin solidifying as a treasury/reserve asset (talk of U.S. strategic reserves lingers)
Stablecoins powering real-yield apps and daily settlements
RWAs (real-world assets) going mainstream on chains like BNB Chain
AI agents transacting autonomously on-chain
Layer-1 evolution: Ethereum L2 gravity, Solana speed/ETF potential
This correction might be the healthy reset crypto needed after 2025's industrialization phase. Lower prices = better entry points for long-term holders, reduced leverage = healthier ecosystem.
What do you think, Square community?
Is BTC heading back to $100K+ by Q2, or do we test $50K first?
Are you DCA-ing alts right now, or waiting for more clarity?
Which 2026 theme excites you most: RWAs, AI agents, or stablecoin boom?
Drop your takes below—let's discuss! Use $BTC $ETH if sharing charts. Stay disciplined, trade smart, and remember: in crypto, the best opportunities often hide in the fear. 💎🙌
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